TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015345
Played Aug 26Finished
Vojtech Toman
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118116––––
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:20 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVojtech Toman to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Toman above · Frantisek Schmidtmayer below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vojtech Toman at 55.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Toman 1–0 Frantisek Schmidtmayer Frantisek Schmidtmayer has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:20What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Toman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Toman 1471 vs Schmidtmayer 1479
Schmidtmayer
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Toman 20% vs Schmidtmayer 40%
Schmidtmayer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Toman 20% vs Schmidtmayer 50%
Schmidtmayer
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Toman -3 · Schmidtmayer -1
Toman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Toman) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Toman form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsToman 1.67 / Schmidtmayer 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Toman)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13015345
Toman1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 20 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Schmidtmayer2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 39 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeToman1wins
AwaySchmidtmayer0wins
Toman leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTomanSchmidtmayerT − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.032.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTomanSchmidtmayerBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 87 vs 222 / 46547.1%47.7%41 / 87 vs 222 / 465Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TomanToman 1.67/Schmidtmayer 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Toman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Toman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 29 · 15:30V. Toman—21111113F. Schmidtmayer—115881
V. Toman10
WSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WSep 2 · 14:00V. Toman1.671111113M. Vorel2.107570WAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133LAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113LAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872LAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 18:30V. Toman1.8312119113J. Marhol1.831081171LAug 19 · 17:30V. Toman1.671310981K. Farsky2.10111211113
F. Schmidtmayer10
LSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113LSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113LSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83991391K. Farsky1.83111111113LAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682LAug 28 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.1084111262M. Vana1.671111310113WAug 28 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.808111111113P. Kotrbacek1.9111481372LAug 28 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.7381290A. Dvoracek2.001114113LAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133LAug 26 · 15:00F. Schmidtmayer2.20116551J. Marhol1.6161111113
Upcoming Matches
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