TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015153
Played Aug 26Finished
Vojtech Toman
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71111131210911––
Petr Abraham
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVojtech Toman to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Toman above · Petr Abraham below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 84 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vojtech Toman at 55.8%
84 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Toman 1–1 Petr Abraham Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:46What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Toman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Toman 1484 vs Abraham 1437
Toman
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Toman 20% vs Abraham 60%
Abraham
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Toman 30% vs Abraham 50%
Abraham
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Toman -2 · Abraham -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Toman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abraham form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsToman 1.67 / Abraham 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Toman)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015153
Toman1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 20 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Abraham2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 22 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeToman1wins
AwayAbraham1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTomanAbrahamT − ABasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.535.5+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTomanAbrahamBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 86 vs 206 / 41447.7%49.8%41 / 86 vs 206 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TomanToman 1.67/Abraham 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Toman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Abraham won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 9 · 13:30V. Toman—101111113P. Abraham—123871
LJun 28 · 15:30V. Toman—1185101P. Abraham—71111123
V. Toman10
WSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WSep 2 · 14:00V. Toman1.671111113M. Vorel2.107570WAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133WAug 26 · 15:30V. Toman1.671111113F. Schmidtmayer2.105860LAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872LAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 18:30V. Toman1.8312119113J. Marhol1.831081171LAug 19 · 17:30V. Toman1.671310981K. Farsky2.10111211113
P. Abraham10
WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 15:00P. Abraham2.631112113J. Hanacek1.4451030WAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132LAug 26 · 14:00F. Schmidtmayer1.441111113P. Abraham2.639390WAug 23 · 08:59P. Abraham1.2511116113J. Pina3.75591191WAug 23 · 08:00P. Hlina2.753290P. Abraham1.401111113LAug 23 · 07:00A. Dvoracek3.75119116113P. Abraham1.2581191152
Upcoming Matches
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