TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022292
Played Aug 26Finished
Jan Marhol
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115911511811––
Petr Abraham
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Marhol above · Petr Abraham below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Jan Marhol 1–4 Petr Abraham Jan Marhol has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Abraham)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abraham form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarhol 1.83 / Abraham 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Abraham)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022292
Marhol1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Abraham1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMarhol1wins
AwayAbraham4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderAbraham leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarholn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayAbraham100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marhol1Abraham4n = 5Abraham took 4 of 5
S2Marhol3Abraham2n = 5Marhol took 3 of 5
S3Marhol2Abraham3n = 5Abraham took 3 of 5
S4Marhol1Abraham2n = 3Abraham took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricMarholAbrahamM − ABasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match31.636.4−4.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarholAbrahamBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 235 vs 208 / 41751.5%49.9%121 / 235 vs 208 / 417Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbrahamMarhol 1.83/Abraham 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Abraham · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Abraham won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 26 · 16:00J. Marhol—61141132P. Abraham—114117113
WJun 20 · 16:39J. Marhol—1111113P. Abraham—7480
LJun 20 · 14:00J. Marhol—912781P. Abraham—111011113
LApr 12 · 09:15J. Marhol—10730P. Abraham—1211113
LFeb 28 · 16:30J. Marhol—791171P. Abraham—11119113
J. Marhol10
WSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122LSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 15:00F. Schmidtmayer2.20116551J. Marhol1.6161111113LAug 25 · 12:58F. Kubos2.101111113J. Marhol1.676870WAug 25 · 11:30J. Marhol1.671311812113O. Plyska2.10117111432LAug 25 · 10:30J. Marhol1.5791111462J. Hanacek2.25118511113WAug 25 · 09:30J. Marhol1.671111155113F. Kubos2.1099171162
P. Abraham10
WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 15:00P. Abraham2.631112113J. Hanacek1.4451030WAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113LAug 26 · 14:00F. Schmidtmayer1.441111113P. Abraham2.639390WAug 23 · 08:59P. Abraham1.2511116113J. Pina3.75591191WAug 23 · 08:00P. Hlina2.753290P. Abraham1.401111113LAug 23 · 07:00A. Dvoracek3.75119116113P. Abraham1.2581191152
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