TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477720
Played Aug 23Finished
Adam Dvoracek
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911119611115
Petr Abraham
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 79.0% is still 79.0%
Graded at full timePetr Abraham to win
79.0%
79.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
118911119611115
H2H Adam Dvoracek 2–6 Petr Abraham Adam Dvoracek has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Abraham
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Abraham
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvoracek 1388 vs Abraham 1449
Abraham
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvoracek 20% vs Abraham 60%
Abraham
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvoracek 20% vs Abraham 40%
Abraham
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvoracek -4 · Abraham +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Abraham) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abraham form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvoracek 3.75 / Abraham 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Abraham)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12477720
Dvoracek3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 48 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back26% 17 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Abraham1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 59 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeDvoracek2wins
AwayAbraham6wins
2 of 8 to a deciderAbraham leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvoracekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayAbraham85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvoracek1Abraham7n = 8Abraham took 7 of 8
S2Dvoracek0Abraham8n = 8Abraham took 8 of 8
S3Dvoracek2Abraham6n = 8Abraham took 6 of 8
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away675%
These 8 meetings
MetricDvoracekAbrahamD − ABasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match27.236.4−9.2per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvoracekAbrahamBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 462 vs 206 / 41453.5%49.8%247 / 462 vs 206 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbrahamDvoracek 3.75/Abraham 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78%
Abraham · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 23 · 07:00A. Dvoracek—119116113P. Abraham—81191152
LJul 19 · 16:13A. Dvoracek—7640P. Abraham—1111113
LJul 19 · 13:45A. Dvoracek—98100P. Abraham—1111123
WApr 12 · 11:15A. Dvoracek—1151111163P. Abraham—131126142
LApr 11 · 12:59A. Dvoracek—5960P. Abraham—1111113
LApr 11 · 12:00A. Dvoracek—10820P. Abraham—1211113
LApr 6 · 16:58A. Dvoracek—10530P. Abraham—1211113
LApr 6 · 16:00A. Dvoracek—4550P. Abraham—1111113
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113WSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.80611411113J. Hanacek1.9111911752WAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.801091141A. Dvoracek1.9112119103LAug 29 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.8012861162J. Hanacek1.911011112113
P. Abraham10
WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 15:00P. Abraham2.631112113J. Hanacek1.4451030WAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113LAug 26 · 14:00F. Schmidtmayer1.441111113P. Abraham2.639390WAug 23 · 08:59P. Abraham1.2511116113J. Pina3.75591191WAug 23 · 08:00P. Hlina2.753290P. Abraham1.401111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.