TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13086274
Played Sep 6Finished
Adam Dvoracek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
71113111179111210
Karel Jirousek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeKarel Jirousek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdam Dvoracek above · Karel Jirousek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 102 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Karel Jirousek at 58.9%
102 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dvoracek 5–6 Karel Jirousek Adam Dvoracek has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:18What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jirousek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvoracek 1473 vs Jirousek 1479
Jirousek
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvoracek 60% vs Jirousek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvoracek 60% vs Jirousek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvoracek -1 · Jirousek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvoracek 2.20 / Jirousek 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Jirousek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13086274
Dvoracek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 53 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back29% 19 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Jirousek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 43 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvoracek5wins
AwayJirousek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvoracekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJirousek62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvoracek2Jirousek8n = 10Jirousek took 8 of 10
S2Dvoracek5Jirousek5n = 10split evenly
S3Dvoracek5Jirousek5n = 10split evenly
S4Dvoracek7Jirousek1n = 8Dvoracek took 7 of 8
S5Dvoracek1Jirousek2n = 3Jirousek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvoracekJirousekD − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.739.7−3.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvoracekJirousekBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 472 vs 229 / 44453.2%51.6%251 / 472 vs 229 / 444Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekDvoracek 2.20/Jirousek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 20:29A. Dvoracek—3811101K. Jirousek—11119123
LAug 20 · 18:29A. Dvoracek—51121442K. Jirousek—1151112113
LJul 22 · 15:00A. Dvoracek—9690K. Jirousek—1111113
WJul 15 · 13:45A. Dvoracek—51111113K. Jirousek—119851
WJun 27 · 13:15A. Dvoracek—851111113K. Jirousek—11117782
LJun 6 · 15:30A. Dvoracek—71281142K. Jirousek—1110118113
WJun 3 · 09:45A. Dvoracek—111114113K. Jirousek—881661
WJan 5 · 14:10A. Dvoracek—71111123K. Jirousek—1198101
WJan 5 · 11:00A. Dvoracek—11711113K. Jirousek—711961
LSep 16 · 17:10A. Dvoracek—31080K. Jirousek—1112113
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113LSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121WSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.80611411113J. Hanacek1.9111911752WAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 29 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.801091141A. Dvoracek1.9112119103LAug 29 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.8012861162J. Hanacek1.911011112113WAug 29 · 14:30O. Plyska1.5311913872A. Dvoracek2.38411111183
K. Jirousek10
WSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131WSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133WSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113LSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113LSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950WSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113LAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100LAug 27 · 19:30K. Jirousek2.0011380J. Botka1.731311113WAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981
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