TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13032434
Played Aug 27Finished
Jan Botka
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101141210––––
Karel Jirousek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Botka above · Karel Jirousek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10
59 points played in total.
H2H Jan Botka 1–0 Karel Jirousek Karel Jirousek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Botka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirousek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBotka 1.44 / Jirousek 2.63
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Botka)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13032434
Botka1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 8 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it50% 6 of 12
Jirousek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 41 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBotka1wins
AwayJirousek0wins
Botka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBotkaJirousekB − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.022.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBotkaJirousekBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 94 vs 227 / 44543.6%51%41 / 94 vs 227 / 445Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BotkaBotka 1.44/Jirousek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Botka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Botka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 27 · 19:30J. Botka—1311113K. Jirousek—11380
J. Botka10
WAug 27 · 19:30K. Jirousek2.0011380J. Botka1.731311113WAug 27 · 19:00J. Botka2.00111353113K. Farsky1.73711111162WAug 27 · 18:00J. Botka1.611081111113J. Pina2.2012119792LAug 9 · 20:34M. Vorel2.2561113113J. Botka1.571121171WAug 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.531181041J. Botka2.3831112113LAug 9 · 19:00J. Botka1.5011117962M. Vorel2.50781111113LAug 9 · 18:00J. Botka2.38111111892M. Bruk1.53313911113LAug 8 · 08:44Z. Kuksa1.40121112113J. Botka2.751071471LAug 8 · 07:45J. Botka2.208390Z. Kuksa1.611111113LAug 8 · 06:15M. Taranko1.671111112113J. Botka2.10131191052
K. Jirousek10
WSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131LSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102WSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133WSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113LSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek1.918890K. Jirousek1.801111113LSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950WSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113LAug 27 · 19:30K. Jirousek2.0011380J. Botka1.731311113WAug 27 · 18:30K. Jirousek1.6711811113J. Pina2.10911981
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