TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12378950
Played Aug 8Finished
Jan Botka
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811311911––––
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:12 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kuksa to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingJan Botka above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Zdenek Kuksa at 60.7%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kuksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Botka 1407 vs Kuksa 1499
Kuksa
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Botka 0% vs Kuksa 40%
Kuksa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Botka 20% vs Kuksa 50%
Kuksa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Botka -5 · Kuksa -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kuksa) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBotka 2.20 / Kuksa 1.61
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kuksa)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12378950
Botka2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 16 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Kuksa1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 79 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it83% 43 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it75% 61 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBotkaKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 85 vs 251 / 49643.5%50.6%37 / 85 vs 251 / 496Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaBotka 2.20/Kuksa 1.61
Hit
What we said
64.7%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kuksa won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Botka10
WAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100WAug 27 · 19:30K. Jirousek2.0011380J. Botka1.731311113WAug 27 · 19:00J. Botka2.00111353113K. Farsky1.73711111162WAug 27 · 18:00J. Botka1.611081111113J. Pina2.2012119792LAug 9 · 20:34M. Vorel2.2561113113J. Botka1.571121171WAug 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.531181041J. Botka2.3831112113LAug 9 · 19:00J. Botka1.5011117962M. Vorel2.50781111113LAug 9 · 18:00J. Botka2.38111111892M. Bruk1.53313911113LAug 8 · 08:44Z. Kuksa1.40121112113J. Botka2.751071471LAug 8 · 06:15M. Taranko1.671111112113J. Botka2.10131191052
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113LAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113LAug 27 · 13:15T. Hanke2.0011114113Z. Kuksa1.73751161LAug 24 · 16:33M. Bruk1.67611211123Z. Kuksa2.10119116102WAug 8 · 08:44Z. Kuksa1.40121112113J. Botka2.751071471
Upcoming Matches
J. Botka
Nothing scheduled
Z. Kuksa
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