TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12384965
Played Aug 9Finished
Jan Botka
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1131113119811911
Martin Bruk
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Bruk to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Botka above · Martin Bruk below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 97 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Martin Bruk at 67.8%
97 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bruk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Botka 1379 vs Bruk 1523
Bruk
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Botka 0% vs Bruk 80%
Bruk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Botka 20% vs Bruk 70%
Bruk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Botka -5 · Bruk -1
Botka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Bruk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bruk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBotka 2.38 / Bruk 1.53
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Bruk)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12384965
Botka2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 16 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Bruk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 52 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it70% 37 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBotkaBrukBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 87 vs 199 / 38342.5%52%37 / 87 vs 199 / 383Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrukBotka 2.38/Bruk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.8%
Bruk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bruk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Botka10
WAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100WAug 27 · 19:30K. Jirousek2.0011380J. Botka1.731311113WAug 27 · 19:00J. Botka2.00111353113K. Farsky1.73711111162WAug 27 · 18:00J. Botka1.611081111113J. Pina2.2012119792LAug 9 · 20:34M. Vorel2.2561113113J. Botka1.571121171WAug 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.531181041J. Botka2.3831112113LAug 9 · 19:00J. Botka1.5011117962M. Vorel2.50781111113LAug 8 · 08:44Z. Kuksa1.40121112113J. Botka2.751071471LAug 8 · 07:45J. Botka2.208390Z. Kuksa1.611111113LAug 8 · 06:15M. Taranko1.671111112113J. Botka2.10131191052
M. Bruk10
LSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113WSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081WSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113WAug 24 · 16:33M. Bruk1.67611211123Z. Kuksa2.10119116102LAug 24 · 16:00M. Bruk1.7396111172R. Merkl2.00111168113LAug 24 · 14:30D. Marasek1.50111111113M. Bruk2.50881361LAug 24 · 14:00Z. Kuksa2.25111178113M. Bruk1.5757111152LAug 18 · 16:18M. Bruk1.5011691272P. Provaznik2.509111110113LAug 18 · 15:45M. Bruk2.5081090P. Semrad1.501112113
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