TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482350
Played Aug 24Finished
Zdenek Kuksa
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115117711811115
Martin Bruk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:08 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Bruk to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Martin Bruk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 87 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Martin Bruk at 58.9%
87 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kuksa 0–1 Martin Bruk Zdenek Kuksa has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Bruk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuksa 1549 vs Bruk 1524
Kuksa
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuksa 40% vs Bruk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuksa 70% vs Bruk 50%
Kuksa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuksa -1 · Bruk -3
Bruk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Bruk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bruk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuksa 2.25 / Bruk 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Bruk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12482350
Kuksa2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 58 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Bruk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 52 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it69% 38 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKuksa0wins
AwayBruk1wins
Bruk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKuksaBrukK − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.038.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuksaBrukBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 510 vs 198 / 37951.6%52.2%263 / 510 vs 198 / 379Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrukKuksa 2.25/Bruk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Bruk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 26 · 09:30Z. Kuksa—731141M. Bruk—11115113
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113LAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113LAug 27 · 13:15T. Hanke2.0011114113Z. Kuksa1.73751161LAug 24 · 16:33M. Bruk1.67611211123Z. Kuksa2.10119116102LAug 24 · 15:30D. Marasek1.61111013113Z. Kuksa2.209121131
M. Bruk10
LSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113WSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081WSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113WAug 24 · 16:33M. Bruk1.67611211123Z. Kuksa2.10119116102LAug 24 · 16:00M. Bruk1.7396111172R. Merkl2.00111168113LAug 24 · 14:30D. Marasek1.50111111113M. Bruk2.50881361LAug 18 · 16:18M. Bruk1.5011691272P. Provaznik2.509111110113LAug 18 · 15:45M. Bruk2.5081090P. Semrad1.501112113LAug 18 · 14:15D. Marasek1.831111143M. Bruk1.8387120
Upcoming Matches
Z. Kuksa
M. Bruk
Nothing scheduled
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