TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023231
Played Aug 27Finished
Jan Botka
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171311511311116
Karel Farsky
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeKarel Farsky to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Botka above · Karel Farsky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Karel Farsky at 61.8%
89 points played in total.
H2H Jan Botka 0–1 Karel Farsky Jan Botka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Farsky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Botka 1394 vs Farsky 1417
Farsky
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Botka 40% vs Farsky 20%
Botka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Botka 20% vs Farsky 40%
Farsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Botka +1 · Farsky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Farsky) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Farsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBotka 2.00 / Farsky 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Farsky)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13023231
Botka2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 16 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Farsky1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 52 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it70% 35 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBotka0wins
AwayFarsky1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderFarsky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBotkaFarskyB − FBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.048.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBotkaFarskyBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 92 vs 166 / 34242.4%48.5%39 / 92 vs 166 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FarskyBotka 2.00/Farsky 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Farsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Botka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMar 8 · 08:15J. Botka—114411102K. Farsky—711117123
J. Botka10
WAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100WAug 27 · 19:30K. Jirousek2.0011380J. Botka1.731311113WAug 27 · 18:00J. Botka1.611081111113J. Pina2.2012119792LAug 9 · 20:34M. Vorel2.2561113113J. Botka1.571121171WAug 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.531181041J. Botka2.3831112113LAug 9 · 19:00J. Botka1.5011117962M. Vorel2.50781111113LAug 9 · 18:00J. Botka2.38111111892M. Bruk1.53313911113LAug 8 · 08:44Z. Kuksa1.40121112113J. Botka2.751071471LAug 8 · 07:45J. Botka2.208390Z. Kuksa1.611111113LAug 8 · 06:15M. Taranko1.671111112113J. Botka2.10131191052
K. Farsky10
WSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122LSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133LSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113LSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450WSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83991391K. Farsky1.83111111113LAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113WAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.