TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055173
Played Sep 1Finished
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9119111311911––
Karel Farsky
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Schmidtmayer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFrantisek Schmidtmayer above · Karel Farsky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 84 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Frantisek Schmidtmayer at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Schmidtmayer 12–10 Karel Farsky Karel Farsky has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:09What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Farsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-10 in 22
Schmidtmayer
Wrong
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schmidtmayer 1378 vs Farsky 1407
Farsky
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schmidtmayer 20% vs Farsky 40%
Farsky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schmidtmayer 30% vs Farsky 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schmidtmayer -2 · Farsky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Farsky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Farsky form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmidtmayer 1.83 / Farsky 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Farsky)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055173
Schmidtmayer1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Farsky1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchmidtmayer4wins
AwayFarsky6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFarsky leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchmidtmayer50%2 of 4
AwayFarsky66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schmidtmayer4Farsky6n = 10Farsky took 6 of 10
S2Schmidtmayer3Farsky7n = 10Farsky took 7 of 10
S3Schmidtmayer7Farsky3n = 10Schmidtmayer took 7 of 10
S4Schmidtmayer4Farsky4n = 8split evenly
S5Schmidtmayer1Farsky3n = 4Farsky took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchmidtmayerFarskyS − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.839.8−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmidtmayerFarskyBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 463 vs 167 / 34546.7%48.4%216 / 463 vs 167 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FarskySchmidtmayer 1.83/Farsky 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Farsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Farsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer—991391K. Farsky—111111113
LAug 23 · 18:15F. Schmidtmayer—411114122K. Farsky—114711143
LAug 13 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer—125101162K. Farsky—1011128113
LJul 31 · 11:30F. Schmidtmayer—57100K. Farsky—1111123
WJul 29 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer—11411113K. Farsky—611981
WJul 19 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer—711117113K. Farsky—11451152
LJul 5 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer—11913692K. Farsky—6111111113
WJun 22 · 16:13F. Schmidtmayer—11611113K. Farsky—911691
LJun 22 · 13:15F. Schmidtmayer—710100K. Farsky—1112123
WJun 12 · 20:13F. Schmidtmayer—81112113K. Farsky—1151051
F. Schmidtmayer10
LSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113LSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113LAug 28 · 16:45P. Kotrbacek2.38913911113F. Schmidtmayer1.53111111682LAug 28 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.1084111262M. Vana1.671111310113WAug 28 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.808111111113P. Kotrbacek1.9111481372LAug 28 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.7381290A. Dvoracek2.001114113LAug 26 · 16:29F. Schmidtmayer2.6371110111V. Toman1.4411612133LAug 26 · 15:30V. Toman1.671111113F. Schmidtmayer2.105860LAug 26 · 15:00F. Schmidtmayer2.20116551J. Marhol1.6161111113
K. Farsky10
WSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122LSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133LSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113LSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450LAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113WAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113LAug 27 · 19:00J. Botka2.00111353113K. Farsky1.73711111162
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.