TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055526
Played Sep 1Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114115––––
Karel Farsky
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:16 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeKarel Farsky to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Karel Farsky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Karel Farsky at 54.9%
49 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 6–12 Karel Farsky Tadeas Bertho has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:16What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Farsky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-12 in 18
Farsky
Wrong
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1426 vs Farsky 1418
Bertho
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 60% vs Farsky 40%
Bertho
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 40% vs Farsky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho +1 · Farsky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Farsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Farsky form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 2.00 / Farsky 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Farsky)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055526
Bertho2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 71 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Farsky1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 53 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it69% 35 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBertho3wins
AwayFarsky7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFarsky leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho40%2 of 5
AwayFarsky80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho5Farsky5n = 10split evenly
S2Bertho4Farsky6n = 10Farsky took 6 of 10
S3Bertho6Farsky4n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S4Bertho0Farsky10n = 10Farsky took 10 of 10
S5Bertho3Farsky2n = 5Bertho took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerthoFarskyB − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.945.4−4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoFarskyBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 647 vs 166 / 34252.7%48.5%341 / 647 vs 166 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FarskyBertho 2.00/Farsky 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Farsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 30 · 11:45T. Bertho—611115113K. Farsky—11871162
LMay 8 · 18:00T. Bertho—11111110102K. Farsky—813612123
LApr 24 · 05:30T. Bertho—118981K. Farsky—61111113
WMar 29 · 16:49T. Bertho—151189123K. Farsky—1371111102
LMar 29 · 15:45T. Bertho—891791K. Farsky—111115113
WMar 12 · 16:15T. Bertho—119155133K. Farsky—5111311112
LMar 8 · 09:54T. Bertho—911781K. Farsky—11811113
LMar 8 · 07:15T. Bertho—11511432K. Farsky—711711113
LFeb 7 · 17:00T. Bertho—411251K. Farsky—11711113
LJan 31 · 13:32T. Bertho—961181K. Farsky—11119113
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113
K. Farsky10
WSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122LSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133LSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113WSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83991391K. Farsky1.83111111113LAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113WAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113LAug 27 · 19:00J. Botka2.00111353113K. Farsky1.73711111162
Upcoming Matches
T. Bertho
K. Farsky
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