TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060552
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleh Plyska
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611118118––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleh Plyska above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 56.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Plyska 31–31 Tadeas Bertho Dead even across their 62 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Bertho
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-31 in 62
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plyska 1514 vs Bertho 1477
Plyska
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plyska 40% vs Bertho 100%
Bertho
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plyska 40% vs Bertho 70%
Bertho
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plyska +2 · Bertho +5
Bertho
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Bertho) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlyska 2.10 / Bertho 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Bertho)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13060552
Plyska2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back24% 20 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Bertho1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 80 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it80% 62 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlyska3wins
AwayBertho7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlyska60%3 of 5
AwayBertho100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plyska5Bertho5n = 10split evenly
S2Plyska5Bertho5n = 10split evenly
S3Plyska2Bertho8n = 10Bertho took 8 of 10
S4Plyska3Bertho5n = 8Bertho took 5 of 8
S5Plyska3Bertho4n = 7Bertho took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlyskaBerthoP − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.944.0−3.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlyskaBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 681 vs 345 / 65149.2%53%335 / 681 vs 345 / 651Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoPlyska 2.10/Bertho 1.67
Miss
What we said
57%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 06:00O. Plyska—11111111113T. Bertho—76131372
LMay 24 · 15:45O. Plyska—105100T. Bertho—1211123
LMay 13 · 09:15O. Plyska—91161192T. Bertho—119118113
LMay 4 · 08:33O. Plyska—34111182T. Bertho—111136113
LMay 4 · 07:30O. Plyska—111181372T. Bertho—761115113
WApr 30 · 08:00O. Plyska—1410711163T. Bertho—1212115142
WApr 28 · 08:00O. Plyska—121168113T. Bertho—107111162
LApr 20 · 05:15O. Plyska—541191T. Bertho—11114113
LApr 17 · 06:30O. Plyska—11115742T. Bertho—961111113
LMar 27 · 07:15O. Plyska—6980T. Bertho—1111113
O. Plyska10
LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122WSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123LSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143WSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 06:00O. Plyska1.9111118113J. Hanacek1.80641131WAug 29 · 16:39J. Jnr2.6311561172O. Plyska1.44811119113
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113WSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450
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