TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089203
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr Hlina
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12144111210119116
Oleh Plyska
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Plyska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Hlina above · Oleh Plyska below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 100 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oleh Plyska at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Petr Hlina 9–7 Oleh Plyska Oleh Plyska has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:31What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Plyska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Hlina
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlina 1479 vs Plyska 1532
Plyska
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlina 60% vs Plyska 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlina 60% vs Plyska 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlina +2 · Plyska -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hlina) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlina 1.83 / Plyska 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hlina)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089203
Hlina1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Plyska1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHlina6wins
AwayPlyska4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHlina leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHlina66.7%4 of 6
AwayPlyska50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlina6Plyska4n = 10Hlina took 6 of 10
S2Hlina1Plyska9n = 10Plyska took 9 of 10
S3Hlina7Plyska3n = 10Hlina took 7 of 10
S4Hlina5Plyska4n = 9Hlina took 5 of 9
S5Hlina4Plyska2n = 6Hlina took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHlinaPlyskaH − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.242.7−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlinaPlyskaBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 156 vs 341 / 69053.9%49.4%84 / 156 vs 341 / 690Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlinaHlina 1.83/Plyska 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hlina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hlina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina—1241211113O. Plyska—141110962
WAug 21 · 09:03P. Hlina—1111116113O. Plyska—91381162
LAug 21 · 08:00P. Hlina—117931O. Plyska—31111113
LJul 26 · 08:38P. Hlina—6790O. Plyska—1111113
WJul 26 · 05:30P. Hlina—11511143O. Plyska—9119121
LJul 19 · 06:45P. Hlina—116131172O. Plyska—1311116113
WMay 10 · 08:34P. Hlina—1110113113O. Plyska—51291192
WMay 10 · 07:30P. Hlina—1011711113O. Plyska—12911482
WMay 6 · 06:00P. Hlina—11811113O. Plyska—311541
LFeb 27 · 09:58P. Hlina—16511482O. Plyska—1411811113
P. Hlina10
WSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113LSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751WSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211LSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113LAug 31 · 09:03M. Vorel2.107111212113P. Hlina1.67118101462WAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672WAug 31 · 06:30P. Hlina1.8314114123M. Vorel1.8312811101
O. Plyska10
WSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122WSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123LSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143WSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881
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