TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088996
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr Hlina
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116118811611511
Jakub Mejzlik
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timePetr Hlina to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Hlina above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 88 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Petr Hlina at 62.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Petr Hlina 7–5 Jakub Mejzlik Jakub Mejzlik has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hlina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Hlina
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlina 1468 vs Mejzlik 1425
Hlina
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlina 80% vs Mejzlik 60%
Hlina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlina 60% vs Mejzlik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlina +3 · Mejzlik +2
Hlina
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hlina) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mejzlik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlina 1.53 / Mejzlik 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Hlina)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088996
Hlina1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 21 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Mejzlik2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 38 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHlina6wins
AwayMejzlik4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHlina leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHlina80%4 of 5
AwayMejzlik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlina5Mejzlik5n = 10split evenly
S2Hlina6Mejzlik4n = 10Hlina took 6 of 10
S3Hlina6Mejzlik4n = 10Hlina took 6 of 10
S4Hlina1Mejzlik5n = 6Mejzlik took 5 of 6
S5Hlina3Mejzlik1n = 4Hlina took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHlinaMejzlikH − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.634.5+2.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlinaMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 155 vs 141 / 29453.6%48%83 / 155 vs 141 / 294Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlinaHlina 1.53/Mejzlik 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.4%
Hlina · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina—11118652J. Mejzlik—681111113
WAug 25 · 08:33P. Hlina—1111113J. Mejzlik—7750
WAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina—911119133J. Mejzlik—115611112
LJul 26 · 07:30P. Hlina—7360J. Mejzlik—1111113
LJun 9 · 09:08P. Hlina—651181J. Mejzlik—11118113
WJun 9 · 06:30P. Hlina—1111113J. Mejzlik—9450
WJan 14 · 10:10P. Hlina—1111911113J. Mejzlik—37111352
LJan 14 · 07:00P. Hlina—5650J. Mejzlik—1111113
WSep 24 · 05:30P. Hlina—911116123J. Mejzlik—115511102
WSep 14 · 05:30P. Hlina—11911113J. Mejzlik—311871
P. Hlina10
WSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962WSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751WSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211LSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113LAug 31 · 09:03M. Vorel2.107111212113P. Hlina1.67118101462WAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672WAug 31 · 06:30P. Hlina1.8314114123M. Vorel1.8312811101
J. Mejzlik10
LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113LAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina2.20911119133J. Mejzlik1.61115611112WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761WAug 25 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.738111111123J. Puk2.00116138102LAug 19 · 08:37J. Mejzlik3.759790L. Tuma1.251111113WAug 19 · 07:30L. Tuma2.2511711101J. Mejzlik1.5713119123LAug 19 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.209111061M. Vorel1.6111312113
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