TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089271
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Mejzlik
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012911119119118
Martin Vorel
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Vorel to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 101 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Martin Vorel at 54.1%
101 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 3–3 Martin Vorel Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:43What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vorel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mejzlik 1425 vs Vorel 1393
Mejzlik
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mejzlik 60% vs Vorel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mejzlik 50% vs Vorel 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mejzlik +1 · Vorel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorel)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 2.00 / Vorel 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vorel)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13089271
Mejzlik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 38 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Vorel1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 105 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMejzlik3wins
AwayVorel3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMejzlikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVorel75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mejzlik2Vorel4n = 6Vorel took 4 of 6
S2Mejzlik3Vorel3n = 6split evenly
S3Mejzlik2Vorel4n = 6Vorel took 4 of 6
S4Mejzlik4Vorel2n = 6Mejzlik took 4 of 6
S5Mejzlik2Vorel1n = 3Mejzlik took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMejzlikVorelM − VBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match43.241.8+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 294 vs 409 / 79248%51.6%141 / 294 vs 409 / 792Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelMejzlik 2.00/Vorel 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik—1091111113M. Vorel—12119982
WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik—11911113M. Vorel—411761
LAug 19 · 07:00J. Mejzlik—9111061M. Vorel—11312113
WAug 10 · 14:30J. Mejzlik—136811113M. Vorel—111111572
LMay 15 · 12:00J. Mejzlik—10116101M. Vorel—12711123
LJan 14 · 09:00J. Mejzlik—101141172M. Vorel—129117113
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113LAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina2.20911119133J. Mejzlik1.61115611112WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761WAug 25 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.738111111123J. Puk2.00116138102LAug 19 · 08:37J. Mejzlik3.759790L. Tuma1.251111113WAug 19 · 07:30L. Tuma2.2511711101J. Mejzlik1.5713119123LAug 19 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.209111061M. Vorel1.6111312113WAug 19 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.73911911113J. Puk2.0011711882
M. Vorel10
LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761WAug 19 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.209111061M. Vorel1.6111312113
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