TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13006817
Played Aug 25Finished
Petr Hlina
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111151169111311
Jakub Mejzlik
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Hlina above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 97 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Petr Hlina 7–4 Jakub Mejzlik Jakub Mejzlik has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:13What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mejzlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Hlina
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlina 1448 vs Mejzlik 1385
Hlina
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlina 60% vs Mejzlik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlina 60% vs Mejzlik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlina +3 · Mejzlik +2
Hlina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mejzlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlina form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlina 2.20 / Mejzlik 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mejzlik)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13006817
Hlina2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 9 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Mejzlik1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 50 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it84% 41 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHlina6wins
AwayMejzlik4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHlina leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHlina100%4 of 4
AwayMejzlik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlina4Mejzlik6n = 10Mejzlik took 6 of 10
S2Hlina5Mejzlik5n = 10split evenly
S3Hlina7Mejzlik3n = 10Hlina took 7 of 10
S4Hlina2Mejzlik4n = 6Mejzlik took 4 of 6
S5Hlina3Mejzlik1n = 4Hlina took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHlinaMejzlikH − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.835.0+2.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlinaMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 148 vs 146 / 30352.7%48.2%78 / 148 vs 146 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikHlina 2.20/Mejzlik 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hlina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 08:33P. Hlina—1111113J. Mejzlik—7750
WAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina—911119133J. Mejzlik—115611112
LJul 26 · 07:30P. Hlina—7360J. Mejzlik—1111113
LJun 9 · 09:08P. Hlina—651181J. Mejzlik—11118113
WJun 9 · 06:30P. Hlina—1111113J. Mejzlik—9450
WJan 14 · 10:10P. Hlina—1111911113J. Mejzlik—37111352
LJan 14 · 07:00P. Hlina—5650J. Mejzlik—1111113
WSep 24 · 05:30P. Hlina—911116123J. Mejzlik—115511102
WSep 14 · 05:30P. Hlina—11911113J. Mejzlik—311871
LAug 31 · 07:00P. Hlina—9111111112J. Mejzlik—111396133
P. Hlina10
WSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113LSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962WSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751WSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211LSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113LAug 31 · 09:03M. Vorel2.107111212113P. Hlina1.67118101462WAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672
J. Mejzlik10
LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761WAug 25 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.738111111123J. Puk2.00116138102LAug 19 · 08:37J. Mejzlik3.759790L. Tuma1.251111113WAug 19 · 07:30L. Tuma2.2511711101J. Mejzlik1.5713119123LAug 19 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.209111061M. Vorel1.6111312113
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