TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13091339
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Mejzlik
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121131113511––
Petr Hlina
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Petr Hlina below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 76 set 4, 5-11
76 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 5–7 Petr Hlina Jakub Mejzlik has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Mejzlik beat Hlina 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hlina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mejzlik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 2.10 / Hlina 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hlina)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13091339
Mejzlik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 38 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Hlina1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 21 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMejzlik4wins
AwayHlina6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHlina leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMejzlik60%3 of 5
AwayHlina80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mejzlik5Hlina5n = 10split evenly
S2Mejzlik4Hlina6n = 10Hlina took 6 of 10
S3Mejzlik4Hlina6n = 10Hlina took 6 of 10
S4Mejzlik5Hlina1n = 6Mejzlik took 5 of 6
S5Mejzlik1Hlina3n = 4Hlina took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMejzlikHlinaM − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.536.6−2.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikHlinaBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 294 vs 83 / 15548%53.6%141 / 294 vs 83 / 155Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlinaMejzlik 2.10/Hlina 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.4%
Hlina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hlina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Mejzlik—681111113P. Hlina—11118652
LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik—7750P. Hlina—1111113
LAug 25 · 07:30J. Mejzlik—115611112P. Hlina—911119133
WJul 26 · 07:30J. Mejzlik—1111113P. Hlina—7360
WJun 9 · 09:08J. Mejzlik—11118113P. Hlina—651181
LJun 9 · 06:30J. Mejzlik—9450P. Hlina—1111113
LJan 14 · 10:10J. Mejzlik—37111352P. Hlina—1111911113
WJan 14 · 07:00J. Mejzlik—1111113P. Hlina—5650
LSep 24 · 05:30J. Mejzlik—115511102P. Hlina—911116123
LSep 14 · 05:30J. Mejzlik—311871P. Hlina—11911113
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113LAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina2.20911119133J. Mejzlik1.61115611112WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761WAug 25 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.738111111123J. Puk2.00116138102LAug 19 · 08:37J. Mejzlik3.759790L. Tuma1.251111113WAug 19 · 07:30L. Tuma2.2511711101J. Mejzlik1.5713119123LAug 19 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.209111061M. Vorel1.6111312113
P. Hlina10
LSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962WSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751WSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211LSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113LAug 31 · 09:03M. Vorel2.107111212113P. Hlina1.67118101462WAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113WAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina2.20911119133J. Mejzlik1.61115611112
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