TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061231
Played Sep 2Finished
Petr Hlina
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9119111412611––
Ladislav Tuma
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:14 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeLadislav Tuma to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Hlina above · Ladislav Tuma below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 83 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ladislav Tuma at 56.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Petr Hlina 0–2 Ladislav Tuma Petr Hlina has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hlina 1444 vs Tuma 1462
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlina 60% vs Tuma 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlina 70% vs Tuma 50%
Hlina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlina -1 · Tuma +3
Tuma
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlina form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlina 2.25 / Tuma 1.57
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Tuma)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13061231
Hlina2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back22% 4 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Tuma1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 58 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it89% 46 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHlina0wins
AwayTuma2wins
Tuma leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricHlinaTumaH − TBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.039.5−11.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlinaTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 152 vs 233 / 46952.6%49.7%80 / 152 vs 233 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaHlina 2.25/Tuma 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 1 · 08:28P. Hlina—5680L. Tuma—1111113
LMay 10 · 06:30P. Hlina—8512121L. Tuma—111110143
P. Hlina10
LSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962WSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751WSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211LAug 31 · 09:03M. Vorel2.107111212113P. Hlina1.67118101462WAug 31 · 07:30P. Hlina1.53118911113J. Puk2.3891111672WAug 31 · 06:30P. Hlina1.8314114123M. Vorel1.8312811101LAug 31 · 05:30P. Hlina2.5041111892T. Bertho1.50116211113
L. Tuma10
WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113WSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950LSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113LSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180WAug 27 · 16:00L. Tuma1.6791112113J. Jnr2.101131081WAug 27 · 14:30J. Blazek2.75961181L. Tuma1.4011117113
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