TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022677
Played Aug 27Finished
Jan Blazek
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611117811––
Ladislav Tuma
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeLadislav Tuma to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Blazek above · Ladislav Tuma below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ladislav Tuma at 66.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Blazek 7–10 Ladislav Tuma Jan Blazek has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Tuma
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blazek 1405 vs Tuma 1430
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blazek 60% vs Tuma 20%
Blazek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blazek 50% vs Tuma 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blazek +1 · Tuma -3
Tuma
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlazek 2.75 / Tuma 1.40
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Tuma)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13022677
Blazek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 49 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Tuma1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 59 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it89% 47 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlazek4wins
AwayTuma6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlazek66.7%2 of 3
AwayTuma71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blazek3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S2Blazek5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S3Blazek3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S4Blazek2Tuma6n = 8Tuma took 6 of 8
S5Blazek4Tuma1n = 5Blazek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlazekTumaB − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.843.0−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlazekTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 378 vs 235 / 47743.1%49.3%163 / 378 vs 235 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaBlazek 2.75/Tuma 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 21 · 13:30J. Blazek—51111682L. Tuma—116511113
LApr 2 · 16:43J. Blazek—81060L. Tuma—1112113
WApr 2 · 14:15J. Blazek—9111011113L. Tuma—11912992
LMar 24 · 17:59J. Blazek—611751L. Tuma—11811113
LMar 24 · 17:00J. Blazek—7116111L. Tuma—11811133
WFeb 27 · 15:45J. Blazek—111187143L. Tuma—981111122
LFeb 25 · 16:30J. Blazek—1191051L. Tuma—71112113
LFeb 20 · 16:30J. Blazek—91090L. Tuma—1112113
WFeb 5 · 16:00J. Blazek—8111211113L. Tuma—111310982
WJan 27 · 15:30J. Blazek—137118113L. Tuma—111151132
J. Blazek10
WSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113WSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113WAug 28 · 12:23J. Hanacek1.4081411592J. Blazek2.751112811113LAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113LAug 28 · 10:15J. Blazek2.6361080M. Vorel1.441112113LAug 28 · 09:15J. Blazek2.257290J. Hanacek1.571111113LAug 27 · 16:29J. Jnr1.801111123J. Blazek1.9176100WAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek2.63911116113E. Ondracek1.4411391182
L. Tuma10
WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113WSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950LSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113LSep 2 · 16:58L. Tuma2.20811100V. Toman1.611113123WSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LSep 2 · 15:00V. Toman1.73611117113L. Tuma2.0011941172WSep 2 · 13:30P. Hlina2.25991461L. Tuma1.57111112113WAug 27 · 16:59L. Tuma2.751111113E. Ondracek1.409180WAug 27 · 16:00L. Tuma1.6791112113J. Jnr2.101131081
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