TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067623
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Blazek
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012711116119117
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:32 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Dufek Jnr to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Blazek above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Dufek Jnr at 62.5%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jan Blazek 2–2 Jakub Dufek Jnr Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jnr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blazek 1359 vs Jnr 1313
Blazek
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blazek 20% vs Jnr 60%
Jnr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blazek 30% vs Jnr 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blazek -1 · Jnr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blazek form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlazek 2.50 / Jnr 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Jnr)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067623
Blazek2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog36% won 46 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Jnr1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 94 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBlazek2wins
AwayJnr2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlazekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayJnr50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blazek0Jnr4n = 4Jnr took 4 of 4
S2Blazek2Jnr2n = 4split evenly
S3Blazek2Jnr2n = 4split evenly
S4Blazek2Jnr1n = 3Blazek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricBlazekJnrB − JBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match37.040.2−3.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlazekJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 375 vs 242 / 46742.7%51.8%160 / 375 vs 242 / 467Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrBlazek 2.50/Jnr 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Blazek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek—1071111113J. Jnr—12116972
LAug 27 · 16:29J. Blazek—76100J. Jnr—1111123
WAug 27 · 13:30J. Blazek—51311113J. Jnr—1111891
LAug 11 · 12:00J. Blazek—712971J. Jnr—111011113
J. Blazek10
WSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113WSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162LSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113WAug 28 · 12:23J. Hanacek1.4081411592J. Blazek2.751112811113LAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113LAug 28 · 10:15J. Blazek2.6361080M. Vorel1.441112113LAug 28 · 09:15J. Blazek2.257290J. Hanacek1.571111113LAug 27 · 16:29J. Jnr1.801111123J. Blazek1.9176100WAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek2.63911116113E. Ondracek1.4411391182LAug 27 · 14:30J. Blazek2.75961181L. Tuma1.4011117113
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791LSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491WAug 27 · 16:29J. Jnr1.801111123J. Blazek1.9176100
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.