TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031514
Played Aug 28Finished
Jan Blazek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111119611118511
Marian Melisek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Blazek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Blazek above · Marian Melisek below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 84 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Jan Blazek at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jan Blazek 19–23 Marian Melisek Jan Blazek has won 19 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:21What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Melisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-23 in 42
Melisek
Correct
gap of 4 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blazek 1347 vs Melisek 1405
Melisek
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blazek 20% vs Melisek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blazek 40% vs Melisek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blazek -3 · Melisek +1
Blazek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Melisek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melisek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlazek 1.83 / Melisek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Melisek)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031514
Blazek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Melisek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlazek5wins
AwayMelisek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlazek75%3 of 4
AwayMelisek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blazek4Melisek6n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10
S2Blazek7Melisek3n = 10Blazek took 7 of 10
S3Blazek4Melisek6n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10
S4Blazek6Melisek1n = 7Blazek took 6 of 7
S5Blazek0Melisek3n = 3Melisek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlazekMelisekB − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.436.9−2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlazekMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 384 vs 224 / 46542.7%48.2%164 / 384 vs 224 / 465Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelisekBlazek 1.83/Melisek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Melisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Melisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek—11161152M. Melisek—119118113
WAug 5 · 15:30J. Blazek—11111123M. Melisek—8611101
LJul 30 · 09:30J. Blazek—51171172M. Melisek—115115113
LJul 15 · 16:33J. Blazek—5160M. Melisek—1111113
LJul 15 · 14:30J. Blazek—8540M. Melisek—1111113
WJul 10 · 10:30J. Blazek—1111113M. Melisek—9790
WJun 24 · 12:38J. Blazek—11116143M. Melisek—5711121
WJun 24 · 11:00J. Blazek—81111123M. Melisek—1197101
LJun 22 · 10:45J. Blazek—117119102M. Melisek—911511123
WJun 3 · 09:15J. Blazek—71111113M. Melisek—119461
J. Blazek10
WSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113WSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113WAug 28 · 12:23J. Hanacek1.4081411592J. Blazek2.751112811113LAug 28 · 10:15J. Blazek2.6361080M. Vorel1.441112113LAug 28 · 09:15J. Blazek2.257290J. Hanacek1.571111113LAug 27 · 16:29J. Jnr1.801111123J. Blazek1.9176100WAug 27 · 15:30J. Blazek2.63911116113E. Ondracek1.4411391182LAug 27 · 14:30J. Blazek2.75961181L. Tuma1.4011117113
M. Melisek10
WSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 12:00M. Melisek2.2011811842M. Vorel1.61511311113LSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832WSep 1 · 10:00J. Jnr1.735890M. Melisek2.001111113LAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek1.53891211113M. Melisek2.38111110622WAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122LAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 13:30M. Melisek2.20612761J. Hanacek1.61111011113WAug 28 · 12:54M. Vorel1.5311581282M. Melisek2.384111110113WAug 28 · 10:45M. Melisek2.3811712113J. Hanacek1.535111081
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