TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031631
Played Aug 28Finished
Marian Melisek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1157111210118––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarian Melisek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Josef Hanacek at 62.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Marian Melisek 13–16 Josef Hanacek Marian Melisek has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:20What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hanacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-16 in 29
Hanacek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melisek 1370 vs Hanacek 1503
Hanacek
Wrong
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melisek 20% vs Hanacek 60%
Hanacek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melisek 20% vs Hanacek 60%
Hanacek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melisek -4 · Hanacek +1
Melisek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Hanacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melisek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelisek 2.38 / Hanacek 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Hanacek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13031631
Melisek2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 58 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back22% 15 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Hanacek1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 64 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it85% 44 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelisek4wins
AwayHanacek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHanacek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelisek66.7%4 of 6
AwayHanacek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melisek6Hanacek4n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10
S2Melisek5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Melisek3Hanacek7n = 10Hanacek took 7 of 10
S4Melisek3Hanacek7n = 10Hanacek took 7 of 10
S5Melisek3Hanacek2n = 5Melisek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelisekHanacekM − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.443.8−2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelisekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 463 vs 218 / 41548%52.5%222 / 463 vs 218 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekMelisek 2.38/Hanacek 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Melisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 11:30M. Melisek—815661J. Hanacek—111311113
WAug 8 · 15:30M. Melisek—111011103J. Hanacek—712741
LAug 7 · 09:30M. Melisek—118111052J. Hanacek—511912113
LAug 5 · 13:30M. Melisek—881191J. Hanacek—11117113
LAug 3 · 14:00M. Melisek—116941J. Hanacek—61111113
LJul 15 · 14:00M. Melisek—911513102J. Hanacek—1151111123
LJun 16 · 09:15M. Melisek—2111691J. Hanacek—11718113
WJun 13 · 16:29M. Melisek—111156113J. Hanacek—88111152
WJun 13 · 15:30M. Melisek—125712113J. Hanacek—1011111072
WJun 8 · 09:30M. Melisek—1111115113J. Hanacek—76131192
M. Melisek10
WSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 12:00M. Melisek2.2011811842M. Vorel1.61511311113LSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832WSep 1 · 10:00J. Jnr1.735890M. Melisek2.001111113LAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek1.53891211113M. Melisek2.38111110622WAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122LAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113LAug 30 · 13:30M. Melisek2.20612761J. Hanacek1.61111011113WAug 28 · 12:54M. Vorel1.5311581282M. Melisek2.384111110113WAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WAug 30 · 16:33J. Hanacek1.53891211113M. Melisek2.38111110622WAug 30 · 13:30M. Melisek2.20612761J. Hanacek1.61111011113
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