Josef Hanacek vs Marian Melisek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13048142

Played Aug 30Finished

Josef Hanacek

Home

1.53

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

8119111210116112

Marian Melisek

Away

2.38

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Marian Melisek below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 11-6

Set 5 · 11-2

Point 91 set 5, 11-2

91 points played in total.

H2H Josef Hanacek 17–14 Marian Melisek Marian Melisek has won 14 of their 31 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Hanacek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Melisek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHanacek 1.53 / Melisek 2.38

Signal prob.62% / 38%

Edge (Hanacek)+0.8pp

Setka Cup · #13048142

Hanacek1.53

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite55% won 66 of 120

Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29

Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54

Melisek2.38

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog43% won 61 of 142

Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 69

Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeHanacek7wins

AwayMelisek3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderHanacek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHanacek100%5 of 5

AwayMelisek60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Hanacek5Melisek5n = 10split evenly

S2Hanacek5Melisek5n = 10split evenly

S3Hanacek6Melisek4n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10

S4Hanacek7Melisek3n = 10Hanacek took 7 of 10

S5Hanacek2Melisek1n = 3Hanacek took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home550%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricHanacekMelisekH − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.039.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHanacekMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 425 vs 223 / 46552.2%48%222 / 425 vs 223 / 465Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Hanacek

Hanacek 1.53/Melisek 2.38

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61.6%

Hanacek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Hanacek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 30 · 13:30J. Hanacek—111011113M. Melisek—612761

LAug 28 · 10:45J. Hanacek—5111081M. Melisek—11712113

WAug 18 · 11:30J. Hanacek—111311113M. Melisek—815661

LAug 8 · 15:30J. Hanacek—712741M. Melisek—111011103

WAug 7 · 09:30J. Hanacek—511912113M. Melisek—118111052

WAug 5 · 13:30J. Hanacek—11117113M. Melisek—881191

WAug 3 · 14:00J. Hanacek—61111113M. Melisek—116941

WJul 15 · 14:00J. Hanacek—1151111123M. Melisek—911513102

WJun 16 · 09:15J. Hanacek—11718113M. Melisek—2111691

LJun 13 · 16:29J. Hanacek—88111152M. Melisek—111156113

J. Hanacek10

WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152 LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870 LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690 LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133 LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192 LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192 WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113 LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162 WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161 LSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691

M. Melisek10

WSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871 LSep 1 · 12:00M. Melisek2.2011811842M. Vorel1.61511311113 LSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832 WSep 1 · 10:00J. Jnr1.735890M. Melisek2.001111113 WAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122 LAug 30 · 14:30M. Melisek2.50117761A. Dvoracek1.5021111113 LAug 30 · 13:30M. Melisek2.20612761J. Hanacek1.61111011113 WAug 28 · 12:54M. Vorel1.5311581282M. Melisek2.384111110113 WAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek1.8311161152M. Melisek1.83119118113 WAug 28 · 10:45M. Melisek2.3811712113J. Hanacek1.535111081

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