TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079097
Played Sep 5Finished
Ladislav Hendrych
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116119––––
Josef Hanacek
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timeLadislav Hendrych to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Hendrych above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Ladislav Hendrych at 75.8%
57 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Hendrych 3–1 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Hendrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Hendrych
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1503 vs Hanacek 1386
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 60% vs Hanacek 20%
Hendrych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 60% vs Hanacek 30%
Hendrych
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych +2 · Hanacek -3
Hanacek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Hendrych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 1.25 / Hanacek 3.75
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Hendrych)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13079097
Hendrych1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 59 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it78% 47 of 60
Hanacek3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 53 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back31% 19 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHendrych3wins
AwayHanacek1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderHendrych leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych100%3 of 3
AwayHanacekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych3Hanacek1n = 4Hendrych took 3 of 4
S2Hendrych3Hanacek1n = 4Hendrych took 3 of 4
S3Hendrych3Hanacek1n = 4Hendrych took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHendrychHanacekHendrych − HanacekBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match35.028.5+6.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 374 vs 226 / 43751.6%51.7%193 / 374 vs 226 / 437Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychHendrych 1.25/Hanacek 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 5 · 16:29L. Hendrych—51141152J. Hanacek—116117113
WSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych—1111113J. Hanacek—9690
WJun 6 · 07:30L. Hendrych—11511113J. Hanacek—711931
WMay 28 · 20:00L. Hendrych—1111113J. Hanacek—3650
L. Hendrych10
LSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171WAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 19:00M. Vana2.10121011113L. Hendrych1.671012991LAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161WAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392LAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:45L. Hendrych2.001111113T. Bertho1.735880
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691LSep 2 · 06:00O. Plyska1.9111118113J. Hanacek1.80641131
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