TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049505
Played Aug 31Finished
Ondrej Karpisek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1111311511711––
Ladislav Hendrych
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Hendrych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Karpisek above · Ladislav Hendrych below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ladislav Hendrych at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Karpisek 1–0 Ladislav Hendrych Ladislav Hendrych has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:33What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Karpisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Karpisek 1408 vs Hendrych 1522
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Karpisek 0% vs Hendrych 40%
Hendrych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Karpisek 10% vs Hendrych 50%
Hendrych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Karpisek -5 · Hendrych -2
Karpisek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hendrych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarpisek 1.80 / Hendrych 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hendrych)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13049505
Karpisek1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 30 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it66% 19 of 29
Hendrych1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 40 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back32% 14 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKarpisek1wins
AwayHendrych0wins
Karpisek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKarpisekHendrychK − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.036.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarpisekHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 480 vs 191 / 37647.3%50.8%227 / 480 vs 191 / 376Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychKarpisek 1.80/Hendrych 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJan 6 · 21:00O. Karpisek—11117123L. Hendrych—6911101
O. Karpisek10
LAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171LAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460LAug 31 · 18:00M. Vana1.8311119113O. Karpisek1.83641181LAug 17 · 20:33O. Karpisek1.837280J. Tichy1.831111113LAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 19:00O. Karpisek2.105930P. Hala1.671111113LAug 17 · 18:00O. Karpisek1.91135100S. Kalensky1.801511123WAug 14 · 16:14J. Juppa1.5311661192O. Karpisek2.38711119113LAug 14 · 15:15V. Lopata1.53811611113O. Karpisek2.3811411962LAug 14 · 13:45O. Karpisek1.835740P. Hala1.831111113
L. Hendrych10
LSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690WAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171LAug 31 · 19:00M. Vana2.10121011113L. Hendrych1.671012991LAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161WAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392LAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:45L. Hendrych2.001111113T. Bertho1.735880
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