TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12434994
Played Aug 14Finished
Jachym Juppa
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611611119911
Ondrej Karpisek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Ondrej Karpisek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11
92 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 31–20 Ondrej Karpisek Ondrej Karpisek has won 20 of their 51 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Juppa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karpisek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 1.53 / Karpisek 2.38
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Juppa)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12434994
Juppa1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 86 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it72% 70 of 97
Karpisek2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 39 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back32% 20 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuppa8wins
AwayKarpisek2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderJuppa leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuppa100%7 of 7
AwayKarpisek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juppa7Karpisek3n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S2Juppa7Karpisek3n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S3Juppa7Karpisek3n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S4Juppa4Karpisek3n = 7Juppa took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuppaKarpisekJ − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.831.9+6.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaKarpisekBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 872 vs 233 / 49353%47.3%462 / 872 vs 233 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaJuppa 1.53/Karpisek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Karpisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMar 31 · 13:30J. Juppa—131110113O. Karpisek—1161271
WMar 17 · 20:00J. Juppa—101111113O. Karpisek—126581
WMar 15 · 17:48J. Juppa—11115113O. Karpisek—471181
WMar 15 · 15:15J. Juppa—1111113O. Karpisek—9880
WMar 2 · 17:00J. Juppa—117118113O. Karpisek—61141192
WFeb 15 · 14:00J. Juppa—11911113O. Karpisek—511841
LFeb 15 · 13:00J. Juppa—1011971O. Karpisek—12411103
WFeb 10 · 21:30J. Juppa—1115113O. Karpisek—91380
LFeb 10 · 18:45J. Juppa—6131121O. Karpisek—11156103
WFeb 9 · 16:30J. Juppa—1111113O. Karpisek—7480
J. Juppa10
LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250LSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172WSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113WSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671WSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113
O. Karpisek10
LAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171LAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460LAug 31 · 18:00M. Vana1.8311119113O. Karpisek1.83641181LAug 17 · 20:33O. Karpisek1.837280J. Tichy1.831111113LAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 19:00O. Karpisek2.105930P. Hala1.671111113LAug 17 · 18:00O. Karpisek1.91135100S. Kalensky1.801511123LAug 14 · 15:15V. Lopata1.53811611113O. Karpisek2.3811411962LAug 14 · 13:45O. Karpisek1.835740P. Hala1.831111113
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