TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12427893
Played Aug 14Finished
Ondrej Karpisek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711411––––
Pavel Hala
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:53 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timePavel Hala to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Karpisek above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 49 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Pavel Hala at 58.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Karpisek 16–15 Pavel Hala Pavel Hala has won 15 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-15 in 31
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Karpisek 1465 vs Hala 1566
Hala
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Karpisek 20% vs Hala 60%
Hala
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Karpisek 40% vs Hala 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Karpisek -1 · Hala -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karpisek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarpisek 1.83 / Hala 1.83
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Hala)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12427893
Karpisek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Hala1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKarpisek5wins
AwayHala5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKarpisekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHala55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Karpisek1Hala9n = 10Hala took 9 of 10
S2Karpisek5Hala5n = 10split evenly
S3Karpisek6Hala4n = 10Karpisek took 6 of 10
S4Karpisek5Hala3n = 8Karpisek took 5 of 8
S5Karpisek2Hala1n = 3Karpisek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKarpisekHalaK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match35.938.0−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarpisekHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 494 vs 307 / 61747.4%49.8%234 / 494 vs 307 / 617Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HalaKarpisek 1.83/Hala 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Hala · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 13:45O. Karpisek—5740P. Hala—1111113
WAug 13 · 15:15O. Karpisek—1041111113P. Hala—12118882
WMay 31 · 17:13O. Karpisek—71111113P. Hala—119581
WMay 31 · 14:00O. Karpisek—11116113P. Hala—671191
LMar 27 · 21:00O. Karpisek—891131P. Hala—11119113
LMar 2 · 15:00O. Karpisek—1011111082P. Hala—129912113
LSep 11 · 17:45O. Karpisek—561191P. Hala—11114113
LSep 9 · 14:45O. Karpisek—5860P. Hala—1111113
WSep 3 · 15:00O. Karpisek—711511113P. Hala—11511332
WAug 24 · 13:10O. Karpisek—81111113P. Hala—117991
O. Karpisek10
LAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171LAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460LAug 31 · 18:00M. Vana1.8311119113O. Karpisek1.83641181LAug 17 · 20:33O. Karpisek1.837280J. Tichy1.831111113LAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 19:00O. Karpisek2.105930P. Hala1.671111113LAug 17 · 18:00O. Karpisek1.91135100S. Kalensky1.801511123WAug 14 · 16:14J. Juppa1.5311661192O. Karpisek2.38711119113LAug 14 · 15:15V. Lopata1.53811611113O. Karpisek2.3811411962
P. Hala10
WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102LSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113WAug 17 · 19:00O. Karpisek2.105930P. Hala1.671111113
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