TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451831
Played Aug 17Finished
Ondrej Karpisek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711211811––––
Jiri Tichy
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingOndrej Karpisek above · Jiri Tichy below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 50 set 3, 8-11
50 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Karpisek 15–19 Jiri Tichy Ondrej Karpisek has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tichy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarpisek 1.83 / Tichy 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tichy)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12451831
Karpisek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Tichy1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKarpisek5wins
AwayTichy5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKarpisek66.7%4 of 6
AwayTichy75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Karpisek6Tichy4n = 10Karpisek took 6 of 10
S2Karpisek4Tichy6n = 10Tichy took 6 of 10
S3Karpisek7Tichy3n = 10Karpisek took 7 of 10
S4Karpisek3Tichy4n = 7Tichy took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKarpisekTichyK − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.433.5+2.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarpisekTichyBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 493 vs 107 / 21847.3%49.1%233 / 493 vs 107 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TichyKarpisek 1.83/Tichy 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tichy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tichy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 19:30O. Karpisek—11781142J. Tichy—911119113
LJun 3 · 19:00O. Karpisek—1181091J. Tichy—71112113
WMay 24 · 20:29O. Karpisek—1111123J. Tichy—94100
WMay 24 · 18:30O. Karpisek—101111113J. Tichy—123451
LApr 13 · 19:45O. Karpisek—7101111J. Tichy—11126113
WMar 26 · 21:14O. Karpisek—119712113J. Tichy—611111022
LMar 26 · 20:15O. Karpisek—7811101J. Tichy—11114123
WFeb 26 · 20:30O. Karpisek—1111113J. Tichy—8640
WFeb 11 · 18:45O. Karpisek—1111113J. Tichy—4850
LDec 21 · 21:29O. Karpisek—4101121J. Tichy—11129113
O. Karpisek10
LAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171LAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460LAug 31 · 18:00M. Vana1.8311119113O. Karpisek1.83641181LAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 19:00O. Karpisek2.105930P. Hala1.671111113LAug 17 · 18:00O. Karpisek1.91135100S. Kalensky1.801511123WAug 14 · 16:14J. Juppa1.5311661192O. Karpisek2.38711119113LAug 14 · 15:15V. Lopata1.53811611113O. Karpisek2.3811411962LAug 14 · 13:45O. Karpisek1.835740P. Hala1.831111113
J. Tichy10
LAug 26 · 20:38S. Kalensky1.7311101311113J. Tichy2.0081215842LAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 18:30J. Tichy1.8010770S. Kalensky1.911211113LAug 26 · 17:30J. Tichy2.007760V. Herrmann1.731111113WAug 23 · 08:48D. Brichacek1.44811971J. Tichy2.6311811113LAug 23 · 07:45J. Tichy2.258770D. Brichacek1.571111113WAug 23 · 06:15P. Hala1.61715119102J. Tichy2.201113311123LAug 23 · 05:45P. Orlowski1.731116113J. Tichy2.0031440WAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 18:30J. Tichy1.80611891S. Kalensky1.9111411113
Upcoming Matches
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J. Tichy
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