TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023147
Played Aug 26Finished
Stepan Kalensky
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11810121315118114
Jiri Tichy
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingStepan Kalensky above · Jiri Tichy below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 103 set 5, 11-4
103 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kalensky 2–4 Jiri Tichy Stepan Kalensky has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kalensky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKalensky 1.73 / Tichy 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kalensky)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13023147
Kalensky1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 73 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it82% 41 of 50
Tichy2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 15 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back20% 5 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKalensky2wins
AwayTichy4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderTichy leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKalensky40%2 of 5
AwayTichyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kalensky5Tichy1n = 6Kalensky took 5 of 6
S2Kalensky1Tichy5n = 6Tichy took 5 of 6
S3Kalensky3Tichy3n = 6split evenly
S4Kalensky2Tichy2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricKalenskyTichyK − TBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match34.837.8−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKalenskyTichyBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 517 vs 107 / 22254.2%48.2%280 / 517 vs 107 / 222Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KalenskyKalensky 1.73/Tichy 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kalensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kalensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 26 · 18:30S. Kalensky—1211113J. Tichy—10770
WAug 17 · 18:30S. Kalensky—11411113J. Tichy—611891
LAug 12 · 19:30S. Kalensky—11251172J. Tichy—911116113
LJun 22 · 17:30S. Kalensky—1111117112J. Tichy—513811133
LMay 3 · 21:04S. Kalensky—6690J. Tichy—1111113
LMay 3 · 19:00S. Kalensky—114961J. Tichy—51111113
S. Kalensky10
WSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143LSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293LSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671LSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113
J. Tichy10
LAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 18:30J. Tichy1.8010770S. Kalensky1.911211113LAug 26 · 17:30J. Tichy2.007760V. Herrmann1.731111113WAug 23 · 08:48D. Brichacek1.44811971J. Tichy2.6311811113LAug 23 · 07:45J. Tichy2.258770D. Brichacek1.571111113WAug 23 · 06:15P. Hala1.61715119102J. Tichy2.201113311123LAug 23 · 05:45P. Orlowski1.731116113J. Tichy2.0031440WAug 17 · 20:33O. Karpisek1.837280J. Tichy1.831111113WAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 18:30J. Tichy1.80611891S. Kalensky1.9111411113
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