TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015232
Played Aug 26Finished
Jiri Tichy
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711611––––
Vit Herrmann
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Tichy to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Tichy above · Vit Herrmann below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Tichy at 62.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Tichy 1–2 Vit Herrmann Jiri Tichy has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Herrmann
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tichy 1476 vs Herrmann 1580
Herrmann
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tichy 60% vs Herrmann 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tichy 50% vs Herrmann 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tichy +1 · Herrmann +3
Herrmann
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Herrmann) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTichy 2.00 / Herrmann 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Herrmann)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13015232
Tichy2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 15 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back20% 5 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Herrmann1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 41 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it70% 30 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTichy1wins
AwayHerrmann2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHerrmann leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tichy2Herrmann1n = 3Tichy took 2 of 3
S2Tichy1Herrmann2n = 3Herrmann took 2 of 3
S3Tichy1Herrmann2n = 3Herrmann took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricTichyHerrmannT − HBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match33.033.7−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTichyHerrmannBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 223 vs 206 / 43848%47%107 / 223 vs 206 / 438Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HerrmannTichy 2.00/Herrmann 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Herrmann · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Herrmann won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 26 · 17:30J. Tichy—7760V. Herrmann—1111113
WSep 12 · 17:15J. Tichy—1311103V. Herrmann—11840
LAug 28 · 17:15J. Tichy—11691182V. Herrmann—811114113
J. Tichy10
LAug 26 · 20:38S. Kalensky1.7311101311113J. Tichy2.0081215842LAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 18:30J. Tichy1.8010770S. Kalensky1.911211113WAug 23 · 08:48D. Brichacek1.44811971J. Tichy2.6311811113LAug 23 · 07:45J. Tichy2.258770D. Brichacek1.571111113WAug 23 · 06:15P. Hala1.61715119102J. Tichy2.201113311123LAug 23 · 05:45P. Orlowski1.731116113J. Tichy2.0031440WAug 17 · 20:33O. Karpisek1.837280J. Tichy1.831111113WAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 18:30J. Tichy1.80611891S. Kalensky1.9111411113
V. Herrmann10
WSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103WSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103LSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171LAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951
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