TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015892
Played Aug 26Finished
Jiri Tichy
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111318167111181012
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:20 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Tichy to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Tichy above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 18-16
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 117 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Jiri Tichy at 55.8%
117 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:20What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tichy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Tichy 1494 vs Snr 1526
Snr
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tichy 40% vs Snr 60%
Snr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tichy 40% vs Snr 60%
Snr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tichy -2 · Snr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tichy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTichy 1.67 / Snr 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Tichy)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015892
Tichy1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 22 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Snr2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog62% won 8 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back33% 2 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTichySnrBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 221 vs 60 / 14248.4%42.3%107 / 221 vs 60 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TichyTichy 1.67/Snr 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Tichy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Snr won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Tichy10
LAug 26 · 20:38S. Kalensky1.7311101311113J. Tichy2.0081215842LAug 26 · 18:30J. Tichy1.8010770S. Kalensky1.911211113LAug 26 · 17:30J. Tichy2.007760V. Herrmann1.731111113WAug 23 · 08:48D. Brichacek1.44811971J. Tichy2.6311811113LAug 23 · 07:45J. Tichy2.258770D. Brichacek1.571111113WAug 23 · 06:15P. Hala1.61715119102J. Tichy2.201113311123LAug 23 · 05:45P. Orlowski1.731116113J. Tichy2.0031440WAug 17 · 20:33O. Karpisek1.837280J. Tichy1.831111113WAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 18:30J. Tichy1.80611891S. Kalensky1.9111411113
J. Snr10
LSep 3 · 21:13S. Kalensky1.7361111113J. Snr2.00118871WSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113WSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572LSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky1.8371113113J. Snr1.831181151WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110LSep 1 · 18:30J. Snr1.8081151152S. Kalensky1.91114119113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Snr2.20122911113J. Juppa1.61101111632WAug 26 · 21:08V. Herrmann1.6110440J. Snr2.201211113LAug 26 · 19:00J. Snr2.509117101V. Herrmann1.5011911123
Upcoming Matches
J. Tichy
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