TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060851
Played Sep 1Finished
Stepan Kalensky
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111181311115––
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingStepan Kalensky above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 77 set 4, 11-5
77 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kalensky 3–4 Jakub Nemecek Snr Stepan Kalensky has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Snr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKalensky 1.83 / Snr 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Snr)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060851
Kalensky1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Snr1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKalensky3wins
AwaySnr4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSnr leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKalensky66.7%2 of 3
AwaySnr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kalensky3Snr4n = 7Snr took 4 of 7
S2Kalensky3Snr4n = 7Snr took 4 of 7
S3Kalensky2Snr5n = 7Snr took 5 of 7
S4Kalensky1Snr4n = 5Snr took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKalenskySnrK − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.139.3−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKalenskySnrBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 517 vs 61 / 14055.1%43.6%285 / 517 vs 61 / 140Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrKalensky 1.83/Snr 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kalensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 1 · 18:30S. Kalensky—114119113J. Snr—81151152
LAug 26 · 18:00S. Kalensky—75120J. Snr—1111143
WAug 22 · 05:45S. Kalensky—101112123J. Snr—12610101
LMar 12 · 18:30S. Kalensky—611661J. Snr—11911113
WMar 5 · 21:58S. Kalensky—111158113J. Snr—58111192
LMar 5 · 21:00S. Kalensky—99100J. Snr—1111123
LFeb 19 · 20:30S. Kalensky—118881J. Snr—81111113
S. Kalensky10
WSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143LSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293LSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671LSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113
J. Snr10
LSep 3 · 21:13S. Kalensky1.7361111113J. Snr2.00118871WSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113WSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110LSep 1 · 18:30J. Snr1.8081151152S. Kalensky1.91114119113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Snr2.20122911113J. Juppa1.61101111632WAug 26 · 21:08V. Herrmann1.6110440J. Snr2.201211113WAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 19:00J. Snr2.509117101V. Herrmann1.5011911123
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