TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055424
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210211911116113
Jachym Juppa
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJachym Juppa to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Nemecek Snr above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 86 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Jachym Juppa at 57.7%
86 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Nemecek Snr 6–7 Jachym Juppa Jakub Nemecek Snr has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:56What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Juppa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1543 vs Juppa 1480
Snr
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 60% vs Juppa 20%
Snr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 60% vs Juppa 30%
Snr
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr +2 · Juppa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Juppa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juppa form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 2.20 / Juppa 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Juppa)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055424
Snr2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog64% won 9 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Juppa1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 80 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it69% 64 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSnr5wins
AwayJuppa5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr60%3 of 5
AwayJuppa60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S2Snr7Juppa3n = 10Snr took 7 of 10
S3Snr5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S4Snr4Juppa4n = 9split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSnrJuppaS − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.036.5+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 137 vs 447 / 85743.1%52.2%59 / 137 vs 447 / 857Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaSnr 2.20/Juppa 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJan 3 · 14:15J. Snr—127781J. Juppa—101111113
WDec 29 · 12:30J. Snr—101111113J. Juppa—124871
LDec 25 · 19:45J. Snr—111112472J. Juppa—771411113
LDec 20 · 15:00J. Snr—7121231J. Juppa—11141032
LDec 7 · 17:00J. Snr—5511101J. Juppa—11118123
LAug 24 · 06:15J. Snr—511671J. Juppa—11511113
WJun 21 · 15:15J. Snr—51112113J. Juppa—1191051
WJun 14 · 18:45J. Snr—11117113J. Juppa—851171
WJun 7 · 08:25J. Snr—11118123J. Juppa—8511101
WJun 7 · 05:45J. Snr—1111113J. Juppa—7790
J. Snr10
LSep 3 · 21:13S. Kalensky1.7361111113J. Snr2.00118871WSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113WSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572LSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky1.8371113113J. Snr1.831181151WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110LSep 1 · 18:30J. Snr1.8081151152S. Kalensky1.91114119113WAug 26 · 21:08V. Herrmann1.6110440J. Snr2.201211113WAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 19:00J. Snr2.509117101V. Herrmann1.5011911123
J. Juppa10
LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250LSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172WSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113WSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671WSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113
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