TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073761
Played Sep 3Finished
Stepan Kalensky
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611118118117––
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingStepan Kalensky above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7
73 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kalensky 5–4 Jakub Nemecek Snr Jakub Nemecek Snr has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kalensky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kalensky form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKalensky 1.73 / Snr 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kalensky)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073761
Kalensky1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 74 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it82% 41 of 50
Snr2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog67% won 10 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back33% 2 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKalensky5wins
AwaySnr4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderKalensky leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKalensky75%3 of 4
AwaySnr60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kalensky4Snr5n = 9Snr took 5 of 9
S2Kalensky4Snr5n = 9Snr took 5 of 9
S3Kalensky3Snr6n = 9Snr took 6 of 9
S4Kalensky3Snr4n = 7Snr took 4 of 7
S5Kalensky3Snr0n = 3Kalensky took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricKalenskySnrK − SBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.138.2−0.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKalenskySnrBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 517 vs 63 / 14455.3%43.8%286 / 517 vs 63 / 144Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KalenskyKalensky 1.73/Snr 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Kalensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kalensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 3 · 18:30S. Kalensky—117811113J. Snr—61111242
WSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky—71113113J. Snr—1181151
WSep 1 · 18:30S. Kalensky—114119113J. Snr—81151152
LAug 26 · 18:00S. Kalensky—75120J. Snr—1111143
WAug 22 · 05:45S. Kalensky—101112123J. Snr—12610101
LMar 12 · 18:30S. Kalensky—611661J. Snr—11911113
WMar 5 · 21:58S. Kalensky—111158113J. Snr—58111192
LMar 5 · 21:00S. Kalensky—99100J. Snr—1111123
LFeb 19 · 20:30S. Kalensky—118881J. Snr—81111113
S. Kalensky10
WSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143LSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293LSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671LSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113
J. Snr10
WSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113WSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572LSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky1.8371113113J. Snr1.831181151WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110LSep 1 · 18:30J. Snr1.8081151152S. Kalensky1.91114119113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Snr2.20122911113J. Juppa1.61101111632WAug 26 · 21:08V. Herrmann1.6110440J. Snr2.201211113WAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 19:00J. Snr2.509117101V. Herrmann1.5011911123
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