TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079074
Played Sep 5Finished
Ladislav Hendrych
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911116411115511
Stepan Kalensky
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeStepan Kalensky to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Hendrych above · Stepan Kalensky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 84 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Stepan Kalensky at 68.9%
84 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Hendrych 12–28 Stepan Kalensky Ladislav Hendrych has won 12 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kalensky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-28 in 40
Kalensky
Correct
gap of 16 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hendrych 1523 vs Kalensky 1580
Kalensky
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hendrych 60% vs Kalensky 40%
Hendrych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hendrych 50% vs Kalensky 70%
Kalensky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hendrych -1 · Kalensky -3
Kalensky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kalensky) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kalensky form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHendrych 2.63 / Kalensky 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Kalensky)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079074
Hendrych2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 41 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Kalensky1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 75 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it83% 43 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHendrych2wins
AwayKalensky8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKalensky leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHendrych33.3%1 of 3
AwayKalensky85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hendrych3Kalensky7n = 10Kalensky took 7 of 10
S2Hendrych7Kalensky3n = 10Hendrych took 7 of 10
S3Hendrych2Kalensky8n = 10Kalensky took 8 of 10
S4Hendrych3Kalensky6n = 9Kalensky took 6 of 9
S5Hendrych1Kalensky3n = 4Kalensky took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHendrychKalenskyH − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.140.9−3.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHendrychKalenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 372 vs 286 / 51951.9%55.1%193 / 372 vs 286 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KalenskyHendrych 2.63/Kalensky 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Kalensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kalensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 20 · 19:30L. Hendrych—11115113S. Kalensky—491161
LJul 2 · 21:04L. Hendrych—1169101S. Kalensky—51111123
LJul 2 · 20:00L. Hendrych—4131171S. Kalensky—11159113
LJun 2 · 19:00L. Hendrych—8770S. Kalensky—1111113
LMay 8 · 08:00L. Hendrych—51181182S. Kalensky—118113113
LMay 5 · 18:45L. Hendrych—911551S. Kalensky—11511113
WApr 17 · 18:00L. Hendrych—1111118113S. Kalensky—13791172
LApr 10 · 19:15L. Hendrych—9111071S. Kalensky—11912113
LMar 28 · 14:30L. Hendrych—11118842S. Kalensky—581111103
LMar 26 · 20:30L. Hendrych—31131182S. Kalensky—116115113
L. Hendrych10
LSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690WAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171WAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 19:00M. Vana2.10121011113L. Hendrych1.671012991LAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161WAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392LAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:45L. Hendrych2.001111113T. Bertho1.735880
S. Kalensky10
WSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143LSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891LSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293LSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671LSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113
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S. Kalensky
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