TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088647
Played Sep 7Finished
Stepan Kalensky
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111210711411––
David Brichacek
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:52 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Kalensky above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 71 set 4, 4-11 — our read held David Brichacek at 73.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kalensky 0–4 David Brichacek Stepan Kalensky has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Brichacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Brichacek
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kalensky 1557 vs Brichacek 1711
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kalensky 40% vs Brichacek 80%
Brichacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kalensky 30% vs Brichacek 80%
Brichacek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kalensky -1 · Brichacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kalensky form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKalensky 3.50 / Brichacek 1.28
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Brichacek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13088647
Kalensky3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 47 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back27% 17 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Brichacek1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 114 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it94% 63 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it78% 83 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKalensky0wins
AwayBrichacek4wins
Brichacek leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKalenskyn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBrichacek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kalensky0Brichacek4n = 4Brichacek took 4 of 4
S2Kalensky3Brichacek1n = 4Kalensky took 3 of 4
S3Kalensky0Brichacek4n = 4Brichacek took 4 of 4
S4Kalensky0Brichacek3n = 3Brichacek took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKalenskyBrichacekK − BBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match29.038.8−9.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKalenskyBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 525 vs 167 / 31554.9%53%288 / 525 vs 167 / 315Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekKalensky 3.50/Brichacek 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 7 · 20:00S. Kalensky—512741D. Brichacek—111011113
LAug 20 · 20:53S. Kalensky—511461D. Brichacek—11811113
LAug 20 · 19:45S. Kalensky—911981D. Brichacek—11411113
LJul 5 · 19:30S. Kalensky—81070D. Brichacek—1112113
S. Kalensky10
LSep 7 · 18:30P. Orlowski1.5011119113S. Kalensky2.50761171WSep 7 · 18:00A. Pavlik1.531041481S. Kalensky2.38121112113WSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143LSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293LSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671
D. Brichacek10
WSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113LSep 7 · 17:30P. Orlowski1.83111110113D. Brichacek1.83571261WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113WSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113
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