TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089106
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr Orlowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151171012116––
David Brichacek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Orlowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Orlowski above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Petr Orlowski at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Petr Orlowski 5–6 David Brichacek Petr Orlowski has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Brichacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Orlowski 1699 vs Brichacek 1720
Brichacek
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orlowski 60% vs Brichacek 80%
Brichacek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orlowski 80% vs Brichacek 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Orlowski +1 · Brichacek +4
Brichacek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Orlowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrlowski 1.83 / Brichacek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Orlowski)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089106
Orlowski1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Brichacek1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOrlowski5wins
AwayBrichacek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOrlowski75%3 of 4
AwayBrichacek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Orlowski4Brichacek6n = 10Brichacek took 6 of 10
S2Orlowski3Brichacek7n = 10Brichacek took 7 of 10
S3Orlowski5Brichacek5n = 10split evenly
S4Orlowski5Brichacek3n = 8Orlowski took 5 of 8
S5Orlowski2Brichacek1n = 3Orlowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOrlowskiBrichacekO − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.50.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrlowskiBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 340 vs 165 / 31253.2%52.9%181 / 340 vs 165 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrlowskiOrlowski 1.83/Brichacek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Orlowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Orlowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 21:33P. Orlowski—11811592D. Brichacek—611211113
WSep 4 · 18:00P. Orlowski—11116113D. Brichacek—871161
WAug 23 · 06:45P. Orlowski—821111143D. Brichacek—111179122
WAug 20 · 17:45P. Orlowski—129711133D. Brichacek—1011116112
LAug 13 · 18:15P. Orlowski—9480D. Brichacek—1111113
WJul 13 · 18:00P. Orlowski—11914113D. Brichacek—6111231
LJul 7 · 19:00P. Orlowski—7711121D. Brichacek—11114143
LJun 5 · 20:43P. Orlowski—136110D. Brichacek—1511133
LJun 5 · 17:45P. Orlowski—811991D. Brichacek—11911113
WApr 29 · 18:30P. Orlowski—61411133D. Brichacek—11123111
P. Orlowski10
LSep 7 · 19:30P. Orlowski1.8085110A. Pavlik1.911111133WSep 7 · 18:30P. Orlowski1.5011119113S. Kalensky2.50761171WSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111LSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891WSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371WSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141LSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113WSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102WSep 4 · 18:00P. Orlowski2.1011116113D. Brichacek1.67871161
D. Brichacek10
WSep 7 · 20:00S. Kalensky3.50512741D. Brichacek1.28111011113WSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592LSep 4 · 18:00P. Orlowski2.1011116113D. Brichacek1.67871161
Upcoming Matches
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