TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13083606
Played Sep 5Finished
Filip Kubos
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113911118119––
Stepan Kalensky
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingFilip Kubos above · Stepan Kalensky below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9
73 points played in total.
H2H Filip Kubos 13–16 Stepan Kalensky Filip Kubos has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kalensky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kalensky form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubos 1.80 / Kalensky 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kalensky)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13083606
Kubos1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 75 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it72% 57 of 79
Kalensky1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 46 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back28% 17 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubos7wins
AwayKalensky3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKubos leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubos83.3%5 of 6
AwayKalensky50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubos6Kalensky4n = 10Kubos took 6 of 10
S2Kubos6Kalensky4n = 10Kubos took 6 of 10
S3Kubos6Kalensky4n = 10Kubos took 6 of 10
S4Kubos5Kalensky4n = 9Kubos took 5 of 9
S5Kubos4Kalensky3n = 7Kubos took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubosKalenskyKubos − KalenskyBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.742.2+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubosKalenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 717 vs 287 / 52051.3%55.2%368 / 717 vs 287 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KalenskyKubos 1.80/Kalensky 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kalensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kubos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 20:00F. Kubos—69111142S. Kalensky—111139113
LJul 20 · 17:30F. Kubos—1112812102S. Kalensky—7101114123
WJul 5 · 20:33F. Kubos—112711133S. Kalensky—711114112
WJul 5 · 17:30F. Kubos—1111153S. Kalensky—69130
WJun 19 · 20:18F. Kubos—11611113S. Kalensky—811671
WJun 19 · 17:15F. Kubos—1112810113S. Kalensky—810111282
LJun 13 · 05:30F. Kubos—711111292S. Kalensky—114714113
WMay 10 · 15:00F. Kubos—861111113S. Kalensky—11117792
WMay 9 · 15:45F. Kubos—111111123S. Kalensky—1375101
WMay 1 · 20:14F. Kubos—111188113S. Kalensky—75111192
F. Kubos10
WSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870WSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293WSep 3 · 20:43F. Kubos2.50119119113M. Cizek1.5091181182LSep 3 · 20:00S. Kalensky1.73111139113F. Kubos2.0069111142LSep 3 · 19:00M. Cizek1.441011118113F. Kubos2.6312971152LSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572WAug 29 · 08:54T. Bertho1.9114911111F. Kubos1.8016119133LAug 29 · 07:45F. Kubos1.80111111662T. Bertho1.91581311113LAug 29 · 06:15M. Taranko1.53311114113F. Kubos2.3811771172
S. Kalensky10
WSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293LSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671LSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113WSep 3 · 20:00S. Kalensky1.73111139113F. Kubos2.0069111142
Upcoming Matches
F. Kubos
Nothing scheduled
S. Kalensky
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