TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067426
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811711118115117
Filip Kubos
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Nemecek Snr to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Nemecek Snr above · Filip Kubos below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 90 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Nemecek Snr at 54.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Nemecek Snr 1–0 Filip Kubos Filip Kubos has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:48What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Snr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Snr 1545 vs Kubos 1485
Snr
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 60% vs Kubos 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 60% vs Kubos 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -1 · Kubos +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Snr)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.73 / Kubos 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Snr)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067426
Snr1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kubos2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 87 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSnr1wins
AwayKubos0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSnr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSnrKubosS − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.043.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrKubosBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 141 vs 369 / 71843.3%51.4%61 / 141 vs 369 / 718Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSnr 1.73/Kubos 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WFeb 12 · 19:30J. Snr—115611113F. Kubos—91111662
J. Snr10
LSep 3 · 21:13S. Kalensky1.7361111113J. Snr2.00118871WSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113LSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky1.8371113113J. Snr1.831181151WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110LSep 1 · 18:30J. Snr1.8081151152S. Kalensky1.91114119113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Snr2.20122911113J. Juppa1.61101111632WAug 26 · 21:08V. Herrmann1.6110440J. Snr2.201211113WAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 19:00J. Snr2.509117101V. Herrmann1.5011911123
F. Kubos10
WSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870WSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293WSep 3 · 20:43F. Kubos2.50119119113M. Cizek1.5091181182LSep 3 · 20:00S. Kalensky1.73111139113F. Kubos2.0069111142LSep 3 · 19:00M. Cizek1.441011118113F. Kubos2.6312971152WAug 29 · 08:54T. Bertho1.9114911111F. Kubos1.8016119133LAug 29 · 07:45F. Kubos1.80111111662T. Bertho1.91581311113LAug 29 · 06:15M. Taranko1.53311114113F. Kubos2.3811771172
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