TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067699
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214117115911117
Marek Cizek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Cizek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Nemecek Snr above · Marek Cizek below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Marek Cizek at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Nemecek Snr 4–5 Marek Cizek Jakub Nemecek Snr has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1546 vs Cizek 1473
Snr
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 40% vs Cizek 20%
Snr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 60% vs Cizek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -1 · Cizek -3
Cizek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cizek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 2.10 / Cizek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cizek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13067699
Snr2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog67% won 10 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back33% 2 of 6
Cizek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 34 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSnr4wins
AwayCizek5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderCizek leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr66.7%2 of 3
AwayCizek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr3Cizek6n = 9Cizek took 6 of 9
S2Snr3Cizek6n = 9Cizek took 6 of 9
S3Snr5Cizek4n = 9Snr took 5 of 9
S4Snr3Cizek3n = 6split evenly
S5Snr2Cizek1n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSnrCizekS − CBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match38.139.0−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 143 vs 140 / 29543.4%47.5%62 / 143 vs 140 / 295Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CizekSnr 2.10/Cizek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr—1113133M. Cizek—411110
LAug 24 · 20:49J. Snr—1091191M. Cizek—12117113
LAug 24 · 18:45J. Snr—8980M. Cizek—1111113
WMar 10 · 19:30J. Snr—911411123M. Cizek—119114102
LDec 23 · 11:00J. Snr—77111282M. Cizek—1111910113
LAug 9 · 09:10J. Snr—11980M. Cizek—1311113
WAug 9 · 06:00J. Snr—11811113M. Cizek—811681
WJul 12 · 19:30J. Snr—611138113M. Cizek—117111142
LJun 8 · 08:00J. Snr—1163121M. Cizek—61111143
J. Snr10
LSep 3 · 21:13S. Kalensky1.7361111113J. Snr2.00118871LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113WSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572LSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky1.8371113113J. Snr1.831181151WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110LSep 1 · 18:30J. Snr1.8081151152S. Kalensky1.91114119113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Snr2.20122911113J. Juppa1.61101111632WAug 26 · 21:08V. Herrmann1.6110440J. Snr2.201211113WAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 19:00J. Snr2.509117101V. Herrmann1.5011911123
M. Cizek10
LSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761WSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Cizek1.83991291J. Juppa1.83111110113LSep 3 · 20:43F. Kubos2.50119119113M. Cizek1.5091181182WSep 3 · 19:00M. Cizek1.441011118113F. Kubos2.6312971152LSep 3 · 18:00M. Cizek2.20113111122S. Kalensky1.61131178113LSep 1 · 20:29J. Juppa1.83121199123M. Cizek1.831081111102LSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110WSep 1 · 19:00M. Cizek1.8311137113J. Juppa1.837111191
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