TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079120
Played Sep 5Finished
Marek Cizek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9119111210911––
Jachym Juppa
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Cizek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Cizek above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Marek Cizek at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Marek Cizek 14–13 Jachym Juppa Jachym Juppa has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:35What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Juppa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-13 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1464 vs Juppa 1465
Juppa
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 20% vs Juppa 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 40% vs Juppa 20%
Cizek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek -2 · Juppa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juppa form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 1.83 / Juppa 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cizek)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079120
Cizek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Juppa1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCizek5wins
AwayJuppa5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCizek100%5 of 5
AwayJuppa100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cizek5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S2Cizek5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S3Cizek5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S4Cizek5Juppa4n = 9Cizek took 5 of 9
S5Cizek3Juppa4n = 7Juppa took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCizekJuppaC − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.843.5+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 298 vs 448 / 86147.3%52%141 / 298 vs 448 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CizekCizek 1.83/Juppa 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 20:29M. Cizek—1081111102J. Juppa—121199123
WSep 1 · 19:00M. Cizek—11137113J. Juppa—7111191
WJun 21 · 08:13M. Cizek—11123123J. Juppa—71011101
LJun 21 · 07:15M. Cizek—87111192J. Juppa—111153113
LJun 20 · 13:45M. Cizek—8790J. Juppa—1111113
WMay 30 · 17:15M. Cizek—111467113J. Juppa—712111192
LMay 16 · 16:45M. Cizek—129111172J. Juppa—141195113
WMay 3 · 10:15M. Cizek—121179113J. Juppa—107111122
WApr 18 · 06:00M. Cizek—119117123J. Juppa—911511102
LMar 15 · 16:45M. Cizek—61111922J. Juppa—116611113
M. Cizek10
LSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761WSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113LSep 3 · 20:43F. Kubos2.50119119113M. Cizek1.5091181182LSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172WSep 3 · 19:00M. Cizek1.441011118113F. Kubos2.6312971152LSep 3 · 18:00M. Cizek2.20113111122S. Kalensky1.61131178113LSep 1 · 20:29J. Juppa1.83121199123M. Cizek1.831081111102LSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110WSep 1 · 19:00M. Cizek1.8311137113J. Juppa1.837111191
J. Juppa10
LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250LSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172WSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113WSep 1 · 20:29J. Juppa1.83121199123M. Cizek1.831081111102LSep 1 · 19:00M. Cizek1.8311137113J. Juppa1.837111191
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