TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055186
Played Sep 1Finished
Marek Cizek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171311711119––
Jachym Juppa
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Cizek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Cizek above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Marek Cizek at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Marek Cizek 14–12 Jachym Juppa Jachym Juppa has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Juppa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-12 in 26
Cizek
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1492 vs Juppa 1471
Cizek
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 80% vs Juppa 20%
Cizek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 50% vs Juppa 30%
Cizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek -1 · Juppa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juppa form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 1.83 / Juppa 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cizek)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055186
Cizek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Juppa1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCizek6wins
AwayJuppa4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderCizek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCizek100%5 of 5
AwayJuppa80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cizek5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S2Cizek5Juppa5n = 10split evenly
S3Cizek6Juppa4n = 10Cizek took 6 of 10
S4Cizek4Juppa4n = 8split evenly
S5Cizek3Juppa3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCizekJuppaC − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.040.8+1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 291 vs 447 / 85847.8%52.1%139 / 291 vs 447 / 858Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CizekCizek 1.83/Juppa 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 21 · 08:13M. Cizek—11123123J. Juppa—71011101
LJun 21 · 07:15M. Cizek—87111192J. Juppa—111153113
LJun 20 · 13:45M. Cizek—8790J. Juppa—1111113
WMay 30 · 17:15M. Cizek—111467113J. Juppa—712111192
LMay 16 · 16:45M. Cizek—129111172J. Juppa—141195113
WMay 16 · 15:00M. Cizek—101392J. Juppa—121181
WMay 3 · 10:15M. Cizek—121179113J. Juppa—107111122
WApr 18 · 06:00M. Cizek—119117123J. Juppa—911511102
LMar 15 · 16:45M. Cizek—61111922J. Juppa—116611113
WMar 14 · 20:15M. Cizek—11911113J. Juppa—611971
M. Cizek10
LSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761WSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Cizek1.83991291J. Juppa1.83111110113LSep 3 · 20:43F. Kubos2.50119119113M. Cizek1.5091181182LSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172WSep 3 · 19:00M. Cizek1.441011118113F. Kubos2.6312971152LSep 3 · 18:00M. Cizek2.20113111122S. Kalensky1.61131178113LSep 1 · 20:29J. Juppa1.83121199123M. Cizek1.831081111102LSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110
J. Juppa10
LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250LSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172WSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113WSep 5 · 05:30M. Cizek1.83991291J. Juppa1.83111110113WSep 1 · 20:29J. Juppa1.83121199123M. Cizek1.831081111102
Upcoming Matches
M. Cizek
Nothing scheduled
J. Juppa
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