TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023279
Played Aug 26Finished
Vit Herrmann
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012411411––––
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVit Herrmann above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Vit Herrmann 6–8 Jakub Nemecek Snr Vit Herrmann has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Herrmann)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHerrmann 1.61 / Snr 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Herrmann)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13023279
Herrmann1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite51% won 41 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it70% 30 of 43
Snr2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog62% won 8 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back33% 2 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHerrmann6wins
AwaySnr4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHerrmann leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHerrmannn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySnr50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Herrmann2Snr8n = 10Snr took 8 of 10
S2Herrmann4Snr6n = 10Snr took 6 of 10
S3Herrmann8Snr2n = 10Herrmann took 8 of 10
S4Herrmann4Snr4n = 8split evenly
S5Herrmann3Snr1n = 4Herrmann took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHerrmannSnrH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.040.2−0.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHerrmannSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 437 vs 61 / 14447.1%42.4%206 / 437 vs 61 / 144Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HerrmannHerrmann 1.61/Snr 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Herrmann · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 19:00V. Herrmann—11911123J. Snr—9117101
WMar 1 · 13:00V. Herrmann—1011118113J. Snr—12861142
WFeb 1 · 13:18V. Herrmann—71111113J. Snr—1185101
WFeb 1 · 10:15V. Herrmann—81113113J. Snr—1161181
WJan 11 · 12:30V. Herrmann—157127113J. Snr—1311101172
LSep 14 · 16:22V. Herrmann—8101161J. Snr—11129113
LSep 14 · 13:15V. Herrmann—7860J. Snr—1111113
LAug 16 · 16:40V. Herrmann—75100J. Snr—1111123
WAug 16 · 14:30V. Herrmann—891311113J. Snr—111111692
LAug 3 · 14:00V. Herrmann—31111882J. Snr—117411113
V. Herrmann10
WSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103WSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103LSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171LAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951
J. Snr10
LSep 3 · 21:13S. Kalensky1.7361111113J. Snr2.00118871WSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113WSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572LSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky1.8371113113J. Snr1.831181151WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110LSep 1 · 18:30J. Snr1.8081151152S. Kalensky1.91114119113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Snr2.20122911113J. Juppa1.61101111632WAug 26 · 19:30J. Tichy1.671118711102J. Snr2.101316118123LAug 26 · 19:00J. Snr2.509117101V. Herrmann1.5011911123
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