TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055314
Played Aug 31Finished
Vit Herrmann
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511116911118511
Ondrej Chadima
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingVit Herrmann above · Ondrej Chadima below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 88 set 5, 5-11
88 points played in total.
H2H Vit Herrmann 14–16 Ondrej Chadima Vit Herrmann has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Herrmann)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chadima form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHerrmann 1.91 / Chadima 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Herrmann)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13055314
Herrmann1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 62 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back33% 19 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Chadima1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 58 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHerrmann4wins
AwayChadima6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChadima leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHerrmann25%2 of 8
AwayChadiman = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Herrmann8Chadima2n = 10Herrmann took 8 of 10
S2Herrmann4Chadima6n = 10Chadima took 6 of 10
S3Herrmann4Chadima6n = 10Chadima took 6 of 10
S4Herrmann2Chadima7n = 9Chadima took 7 of 9
S5Herrmann2Chadima2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHerrmannChadimaH − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.743.2−2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHerrmannChadimaBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 437 vs 312 / 60548.3%51.6%211 / 437 vs 312 / 605Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HerrmannHerrmann 1.91/Chadima 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Herrmann · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chadima won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 18:45V. Herrmann—1212133O. Chadima—1010110
LJul 2 · 10:45V. Herrmann—11711842O. Chadima—911911113
WJun 7 · 12:00V. Herrmann—17117113O. Chadima—1591171
WJun 6 · 16:14V. Herrmann—911811113O. Chadima—11711692
LJun 6 · 13:15V. Herrmann—111013642O. Chadima—8121111113
LApr 18 · 13:04V. Herrmann—11511101O. Chadima—71113123
WApr 18 · 12:00V. Herrmann—511118113O. Chadima—11351182
LMar 1 · 10:30V. Herrmann—1110781O. Chadima—81211113
LFeb 7 · 15:15V. Herrmann—147871O. Chadima—121111103
LFeb 1 · 11:45V. Herrmann—11112101O. Chadima—81311123
V. Herrmann10
WSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103WSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103LSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171LAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951WAug 31 · 18:45O. Chadima1.831010110V. Herrmann1.831212133
O. Chadima10
WSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113LSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172WSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172LSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113LAug 31 · 19:15J. Gruber1.361111113O. Chadima3.004740LAug 31 · 18:45O. Chadima1.831010110V. Herrmann1.831212133WAug 31 · 17:45O. Chadima2.7513811113P. Orlowski1.401111971LAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141LAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103WAug 29 · 14:15P. Maly1.833711101O. Chadima1.8311115123
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