TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084922
Played Sep 6Finished
Vit Herrmann
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151012119113––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVit Herrmann to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVit Herrmann above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 72 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Vit Herrmann at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vit Herrmann 5–10 Tadeas Bertho Vit Herrmann has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:38What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Bertho
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Bertho
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Herrmann 1635 vs Bertho 1465
Herrmann
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Herrmann 60% vs Bertho 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Herrmann 60% vs Bertho 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Herrmann +2 · Bertho +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Herrmann)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHerrmann 1.83 / Bertho 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Herrmann)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084922
Herrmann1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Bertho1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHerrmann4wins
AwayBertho6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHerrmann66.7%2 of 3
AwayBertho71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Herrmann3Bertho7n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S2Herrmann4Bertho6n = 10Bertho took 6 of 10
S3Herrmann7Bertho3n = 10Herrmann took 7 of 10
S4Herrmann4Bertho5n = 9Bertho took 5 of 9
S5Herrmann1Bertho2n = 3Bertho took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHerrmannBerthoH − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.640.5−0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHerrmannBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 442 vs 344 / 65048.4%52.9%214 / 442 vs 344 / 650Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HerrmannHerrmann 1.83/Bertho 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Herrmann · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Herrmann won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 14:45V. Herrmann—14911103T. Bertho—1211281
LApr 18 · 10:30V. Herrmann—1091191T. Bertho—12116113
LMar 29 · 13:15V. Herrmann—771181T. Bertho—11118113
WMar 21 · 18:01V. Herrmann—12117113T. Bertho—1061151
LMar 21 · 16:00V. Herrmann—381161T. Bertho—1111873
WMar 7 · 18:06V. Herrmann—411111183T. Bertho—11971362
LMar 7 · 16:00V. Herrmann—7940T. Bertho—1111113
WDec 15 · 18:30V. Herrmann—71111133T. Bertho—1144111
LNov 9 · 13:35V. Herrmann—114111182T. Bertho—911713113
LNov 9 · 12:00V. Herrmann—1912101262T. Bertho—2110121093
V. Herrmann10
WSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103WSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103LSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171LAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951WAug 31 · 18:45O. Chadima1.831010110V. Herrmann1.831212133
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113WSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450
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T. Bertho
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