TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079130
Played Sep 5Finished
Ondrej Chadima
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811311711––––
David Brichacek
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Chadima above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held David Brichacek at 75.5%
51 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Chadima 1–6 David Brichacek Ondrej Chadima has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:20What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Brichacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Brichacek
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chadima 1568 vs Brichacek 1667
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chadima 40% vs Brichacek 60%
Brichacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chadima 50% vs Brichacek 70%
Brichacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chadima +1 · Brichacek +3
Brichacek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChadima 3.50 / Brichacek 1.28
Signal prob.25% / 76%
Edge (Brichacek)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079130
Chadima3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 55 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Brichacek1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 108 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeChadima1wins
AwayBrichacek6wins
Brichacek leads 6–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChadiman = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBrichacek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chadima2Brichacek5n = 7Brichacek took 5 of 7
S2Chadima2Brichacek5n = 7Brichacek took 5 of 7
S3Chadima0Brichacek7n = 7Brichacek took 7 of 7
S4Chadima1Brichacek2n = 3Brichacek took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away457%
These 7 meetings
MetricChadimaBrichacekC − BBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match24.436.6−12.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChadimaBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 606 vs 158 / 30451.7%52%313 / 606 vs 158 / 304Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekChadima 3.50/Brichacek 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.5%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 15 · 20:15O. Chadima—11114113D. Brichacek—591181
LAug 15 · 17:45O. Chadima—3390D. Brichacek—1111113
LAug 12 · 17:45O. Chadima—11390D. Brichacek—1115113
LAug 7 · 19:45O. Chadima—811471D. Brichacek—11911113
LAug 2 · 16:20O. Chadima—118261D. Brichacek—91111113
LAug 2 · 14:45O. Chadima—4740D. Brichacek—1111113
LMar 15 · 11:30O. Chadima—71250D. Brichacek—1114113
O. Chadima10
WSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113LSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172WSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172WAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:15J. Gruber1.361111113O. Chadima3.004740LAug 31 · 18:45O. Chadima1.831010110V. Herrmann1.831212133WAug 31 · 17:45O. Chadima2.7513811113P. Orlowski1.401111971LAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141LAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103WAug 29 · 14:15P. Maly1.833711101O. Chadima1.8311115123
D. Brichacek10
WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162WSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky2.00611781D. Brichacek1.7311811113
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