TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094941
Played Sep 7Finished
David Brichacek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171151210––––
Petr Orlowski
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDavid Brichacek above · Petr Orlowski below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 56 set 3, 12-10
56 points played in total.
H2H David Brichacek 6–6 Petr Orlowski Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Orlowski beat Brichacek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Orlowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrichacek 2.10 / Orlowski 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Orlowski)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13094941
Brichacek2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 49 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back37% 24 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Orlowski1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite54% won 57 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it72% 43 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrichacek5wins
AwayOrlowski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrichacek80%4 of 5
AwayOrlowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brichacek5Orlowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Brichacek7Orlowski3n = 10Brichacek took 7 of 10
S3Brichacek6Orlowski4n = 10Brichacek took 6 of 10
S4Brichacek3Orlowski5n = 8Orlowski took 5 of 8
S5Brichacek1Orlowski2n = 3Orlowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrichacekOrlowskiB − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.839.4−0.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrichacekOrlowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 315 vs 183 / 34353%53.4%167 / 315 vs 183 / 343Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrlowskiBrichacek 2.10/Orlowski 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Orlowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 17:30D. Brichacek—571261P. Orlowski—111110113
WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek—611211113P. Orlowski—11811592
LSep 4 · 18:00D. Brichacek—871161P. Orlowski—11116113
LAug 23 · 06:45D. Brichacek—111179122P. Orlowski—821111143
LAug 20 · 17:45D. Brichacek—1011116112P. Orlowski—129711133
WAug 13 · 18:15D. Brichacek—1111113P. Orlowski—9480
LJul 13 · 18:00D. Brichacek—6111231P. Orlowski—11914113
WJul 7 · 19:00D. Brichacek—11114143P. Orlowski—7711121
WJun 5 · 20:43D. Brichacek—1511133P. Orlowski—136110
WJun 5 · 17:45D. Brichacek—11911113P. Orlowski—811991
D. Brichacek10
WSep 7 · 20:00S. Kalensky3.50512741D. Brichacek1.28111011113WSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113LSep 7 · 17:30P. Orlowski1.83111110113D. Brichacek1.83571261WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113
P. Orlowski10
LSep 7 · 19:30P. Orlowski1.8085110A. Pavlik1.911111133WSep 7 · 18:30P. Orlowski1.5011119113S. Kalensky2.50761171WSep 7 · 17:30P. Orlowski1.83111110113D. Brichacek1.83571261WSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111LSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891WSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371WSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141LSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113WSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102
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