TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13039773
Played Aug 29Finished
Filip Kubos
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151181113611611
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:58 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Kubos to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingFilip Kubos above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 93 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Filip Kubos at 55.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Filip Kubos 13–5 Tadeas Bertho Tadeas Bertho has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kubos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-5 in 18
Kubos
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubos 1487 vs Bertho 1431
Kubos
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubos 60% vs Bertho 40%
Kubos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubos 70% vs Bertho 30%
Kubos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubos -1 · Bertho -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kubos) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubos 1.80 / Bertho 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kubos)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13039773
Kubos1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 76 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it73% 56 of 77
Bertho1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 70 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubos8wins
AwayBertho2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKubos leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubos100%7 of 7
AwayBertho66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubos7Bertho3n = 10Kubos took 7 of 10
S2Kubos5Bertho5n = 10split evenly
S3Kubos8Bertho2n = 10Kubos took 8 of 10
S4Kubos3Bertho3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubosBerthoK − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.733.2+4.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubosBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 720 vs 341 / 64451.1%53%368 / 720 vs 341 / 644Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubosKubos 1.80/Bertho 1.91
Miss
What we said
54%
Kubos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 5 · 20:00F. Kubos—511581T. Bertho—11711113
WJul 4 · 19:30F. Kubos—11911113T. Bertho—611881
WJun 6 · 20:44F. Kubos—1171112113T. Bertho—81181482
LJun 6 · 19:00F. Kubos—81180T. Bertho—1113113
WMar 27 · 06:15F. Kubos—116118113T. Bertho—81151122
WMar 16 · 10:05F. Kubos—71114113T. Bertho—1181281
WMar 16 · 06:30F. Kubos—11511113T. Bertho—911791
WMar 13 · 08:00F. Kubos—1111113T. Bertho—5770
WMar 12 · 17:48F. Kubos—1111113T. Bertho—8870
WMar 12 · 15:45F. Kubos—1111113T. Bertho—9390
F. Kubos10
WSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870WSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293WSep 3 · 20:43F. Kubos2.50119119113M. Cizek1.5091181182LSep 3 · 20:00S. Kalensky1.73111139113F. Kubos2.0069111142LSep 3 · 19:00M. Cizek1.441011118113F. Kubos2.6312971152LSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572WAug 29 · 08:54T. Bertho1.9114911111F. Kubos1.8016119133LAug 29 · 06:15M. Taranko1.53311114113F. Kubos2.3811771172
T. Bertho10
LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162LSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 07:00O. Plyska2.1011611113T. Bertho1.67911881WSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113LAug 29 · 08:54T. Bertho1.9114911111F. Kubos1.8016119133
Upcoming Matches
F. Kubos
Nothing scheduled
T. Bertho
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