TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049571
Played Aug 31Finished
Miroslav Vana
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101012119119––
Ladislav Hendrych
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vana to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Vana above · Ladislav Hendrych below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 84 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Miroslav Vana at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vana 4–1 Ladislav Hendrych Ladislav Hendrych has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:44What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hendrych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Vana
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vana 1562 vs Hendrych 1532
Vana
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vana 80% vs Hendrych 40%
Vana
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vana 70% vs Hendrych 50%
Vana
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vana +4 · Hendrych -1
Vana
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hendrych) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 2.10 / Hendrych 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Hendrych)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13049571
Vana2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 42 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Hendrych1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 59 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it78% 46 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVana4wins
AwayHendrych1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderVana leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVana100%4 of 4
AwayHendrychn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vana4Hendrych1n = 5Vana took 4 of 5
S2Vana4Hendrych1n = 5Vana took 4 of 5
S3Vana1Hendrych4n = 5Hendrych took 4 of 5
S4Vana1Hendrych4n = 5Hendrych took 4 of 5
S5Vana3Hendrych0n = 3Vana took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVanaHendrychV − HBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.843.2−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 354 vs 191 / 37552%50.9%184 / 354 vs 191 / 375Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychVana 2.10/Hendrych 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.6%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vana won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WApr 23 · 20:48M. Vana—11311113L. Hendrych—511871
LApr 23 · 19:45M. Vana—9126131L. Hendrych—111011153
WJan 2 · 14:00M. Vana—111133103L. Hendrych—79111192
WJan 2 · 11:00M. Vana—1112610113L. Hendrych—910111292
WJun 24 · 18:30M. Vana—111148113L. Hendrych—47111172
M. Vana10
LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123WSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143LSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691LSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113LAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113WAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113
L. Hendrych10
LSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690WAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171WAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161WAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392LAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:45L. Hendrych2.001111113T. Bertho1.735880
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